Happy New Year!

Happy New Year to all and thanks for reading my blog. Have a great time tonight, and be safe. This upcoming storm is very tricky to forecast, so I will make my best estimate at this point.

There are 3 areas of low pressure in the US. One near Dallas, another near the Great Lakes, and the other one near us. The one near us provided the area with 1-3 inches of snow today. These storms will all come together to form one mammoth storm in the Gulf of Maine. Then the storm will back towards the area providing the region with periods of snow, some heavy, Saturday and Sunday. It will also be very windy out of the north/NW with gusts over 50 MPH along the coast.


Snow Amounts from today (inches):

Lincoln: 3.0
Cambridge: 2.5
Boston (Logan): 2.2
JP: 2.0
Taunton: 2.0


New Years forecast:

New Years Eve: Cloudy until 2 AM, then light snow. Near steady temps in the upper 20's.

New Years Day: Snow showers until 9 AM, then remaining cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers. Highs in the mid 30's. Total accumulation around an inch.


Timeline for weekend storm: Temps in the mid to upper 20's during the entire period.

Friday night: Snow comes down from the north after midnight.

Saturday morning: Snow, some heavy. North/NW winds increasing with gusts as high as 50 MPH thru Sunday.

Saturday afternoon: Snow tapers to snow showers, remaining windy.

Saturday night after midnight thru Sunday: Snow, some heavy. Blowing and drifting.

Sunday night and Monday morning: Snow showers linger along the coast.


Amounts over entire period(inches): Could easily change if track changes.

9-12+: Southern NH and possibly Cape Ann.

5-9: The Boston area points north to NH Border and west to Worcester.

3-5: South of 95. Areas like Brockton, Taunton, and Plymouth. A bit more possible along immediate coastline.

Midday Update

The snow started in JP at around 11 this morning and has put down a coating as of 1230 this afternoon. The snow may briefly become heavy before ending around 4 PM this afternoon. The precip will be light for New Years Eve parties. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Boston and areas south and west until 3PM for 1-3 inches of snow. An inch or 2 should fall in JP. A forecast for the weekend snowstorm later.

Major Snowstorm?

The storm will come up the coast for tomorrow afternoon providing the region with an inch or 2 of snow, rain over the cape. It should taper to light sprinkles and flurries by mid-evening and continuing thru New Years Day. Then the storm will go into the gulf of Maine and stall as it rapidly intensifies. At this point it may be just slightly to far to the north to provide our area with a lot of snow. However, it will provide eastern and northern Maine with over 2 feet of snow over many days. Here in southern New England the storm will last for days also, but just light snow is likely. From Saturday thru Monday 3-6 inches are possible, more to the north and less to the south. However, a small shift south ( about 100 miles) would bring a blockbuster snowstorm to the Boston area.

Timeline for New Years Eve:

Noon: Snow arrives in Boston. Temps near 30, except rain to the south.

2pm-5pm: Moderate to heavy snow from Boston points north and west.
Rain to the south.

5-7 PM: Snow becoming more scattered to the north and the west. Snow changing to light rain in Boston and Providence. Temps in the mid 30's.

7-9 PM: Light rain in Boston continues with light snow to the north and west.

9 -11:59 PM: Light sprinkles in Boston as temps hold in the mid 30's. Flurries to the north and west.

2010: Sprinkles and light showers of rain in Boston area. Snow to the north and west of 495.


Amounts:


1-3: from Boston to Providence points north. About an inch in JP.


Local forecast:

Tonight: Becoming Cloudy with lows holding in the 20's.

Thursday: Cloudy with snow arriving from west to east. Highs in the mid 30's by evening.

New Years Eve: See timeline above.

New Years Day: Cloudy with sprinkles and light showers of rain and snow with little accumulation. Temps falling into the low 30's. Just light precip for the Winter Classic at Fenway.

Friday night: Any light rain changing to light snow from west to east. Lows near freezing.,

Saturday thru Sunday night: Light to moderate snow. Near steady temps around 30. The snow could become heavy on Sunday, but it is still unclear how close the storm will come. At this point 3-6 inches are likely, maybe more on the north shore. Windy. NW wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Coastal flooding is also possible.

Snow or Rain?

The arctic air has arrived with temps now in the teens and wind chills down around 0. The temp will continue to drop throughout the day, bottoming out in the single digits tonight. Wind chill values may be as low as 20 below in some areas tomorrow morning. Then, a storm will come up the coast for New Years Eve. The exact track is still uncertain, and that will determine weather the Boston area gets rain or snow. As of right now, the track brings it right over the Cape Cod canal, meaning a transition to rain for most of the area after some snow on New Years Eve and Friday. A track further to the east would mean more snow because that means a north wind, and brings the cold air down from Maine. Then, the forecast becomes even more tricky. The storm will then stall just off the coast as it strengthens, bringing a major blizzard to northern New England. Some parts of northern New England may have over 3 feet of snow! However, a slight shift south would bring heavy snow to the Boston area on Saturday with significant amounts possible.


Local alerts: A Wind Advisory in effect for the entire area until 7 PM tonight.

A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for Worcester county for wind chill values as low as 20 below.

Local forecast:

Today: Sunny with scattered snow showers. Very cold and windy. Temp dropping to 14 by 5PM. NW wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Wind chill values near 0 all day.

Tonight: Frigid and windy. Clear with lows near 9 downtown, 6 in JP and around 3 above elsewhere. Some locations may below 0 by morning. NW winds of 10-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH. Wind chills as low as 15 below in the Boston area, and 20 below in Worcester.

Wednesday: Sunny, but less windy. High 27. NW wind of 15-25 MPH. Wind chill values as low as 15 below before 9 AM>

Wednesday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with temps in the teens to near 20.

Thursday: Becoming cloudy with snow arriving from west to east. Highs near freezing.

New Years Eve: Snow continuing and becoming heavy at times, although a change to rain is likely along the coast after midnight. Near steady temps in the upper 20's to low 30's.

New Years Day: A nor'easter smacks the region with heavy preicp and strong winds. Highs in the 30's.

Saturday and Sunday: Some snow is likely, but it still uncertain how close the storm will be. Temps in the 20's along with a gusty wind. Stay tuned for details.

A New Years Day Storm?

Today will be cloudy with some light rain and snow advancing from the west. It will be mainly rain for the Boston area as high temps will reach the mid 40's before crashing. Then, an arcitc front will come through with snow squalls. That will bring in very cold and windy conditions for Tuesday and Wednesday. Then the fun begins. A storm loaded with moisture will come up the coast for New Years Eve and Day. The big question is will it be snow or rain. It is still too early to tell, but either way it will be cold and very windy. I will keep you updated throughout the week.

Local forecast:

Today: Cloudy with light rain and snow coming in from the west. Mainly rain in the Boston area, but some snow north and west of 495 where an inch or 2 is possible. South winds shifting to west and increasing to 15-25 MPH.

Tonight: Partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with scattered snow squalls after midnight that could put down a quick coating. Turning windy and cold with lows in the mid 20's. NW wind of 15-25 MPH.

Tuesday: Partly sunny with a chance of an early snow squall, then turning much colder. High near 26 in the morning, but falling to 20 in the afternoon. Windy. NW winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH.

Tuesday Night: Clear and frigid. Lows near 10 in Boston and single digits in the suburbs. Windy. NW winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH. WInd chill values as low as 10 below after midnight.

Wednesday: Sunny and windy. Cold, highs in the mid 20's. NW winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH. Wind chill values as low as 10 below in the morning.

Thursday: Increasing clouds, highs ner 30.

New Years Eve: Becoming cloudy with snow likely arriving from west to east. Temps in the 20's.

New Years Day: A nor'easter is likely with heavy precip and very windy condtions. Highs in the 30's. Stay tuned for details.

Weather News: Oklahoma City was one of many cities that broke the record for the biggest snowfall ever over Christmas. In O.C. 15 inches of snow fell, and many places in the plains reported over 3 feet of snow as well as snow drifts over 12 feet. Many roads were closed including interstate 90 near Chicago.

A White Christmas!

As my family was driving home from a party it was snowing at around 11 PM, and by the time I had gone to bed there was a coating on the ground. The snow was produced by the cold winds going over the relatively warm water, producing ocean effect snow showers along the coast. However, by the time I woke up this morning temps were above freezing and the snow from last night had melted.

The band of rain we expect seems to be a little delayed coming in, so the rain will arrive in Boston in the early evening. Little if any wintry precip will fall in the area, because temps are now above freezing in most of the region.

Alerts: Winter Weather Advisory in effect until noon today for Worcester points north and west.


Local forecast:

Today: Cloudy with drizzle and light showers. Temps nearly steady in the mid and upper 30's. NE wind of 15-25 MPH.

Tonight: Rain arriving by 7 PM in Boston and then continuing heavy at times. Near steady temps in the upper 30's. SE winds of 15-25 MPH.

Sunday: Rain until 11AM, then turning partly sunny with showers in the afternoon. Warm, high 46.

Sunday night: Clearing early, then mostly cloudy late. Lows in the 20's to near 30.

Monday: Light snow arriving from west to east accumulating an inch or 2 from Boston points north and west. Temps in the 30's.

Extended: Behind the system on Monday arctic air will once again come into the region as highs will struggle to reach the mid 20's most of the week.

Merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas to all and thanks for reading my blog! Have a fun, relaxing and safe holiday season! I hope to generate some more discussions in 2010, so please post any feedback you have. 

Now to the weather: A storm that is causing major travel headaches in the middle part of the country will move this way for the weekend. This will be a mainly rain event for the Boston area; however, some freezing precip is possible at the very start. The rain will fall heavily at times through Sunday morning, and with the snow on the ground it may cause some flooding problems. There may be some snow on Monday, but it will not be a big event. 

Timeline for Saturday: 

After midnight: Some freezing drizzle is possible. Watch for icy spots, temps in the 20's. 

6AM-noon: Cloudy and breezy with flurries or freezing drizzle around. Temps below freezing early then rising to 34 by noon in Boston, but 20's north and west of 128.

noon: Steady precip begins to arrive from west to east. Freezing rain is likely north and west of Worcester. 

2PM: Rain arrives west of 128, however, it may start as brief period of freezing rain where the cold remains at the surface. Sleet and freezing rain continue north and west of Worcester. 

4 PM: Rain will arrive around 3 in Boston, and 4 PM on the Cape. Little if any freezing precip in Boston and along the coast by afternoon. Sleet and freezing rain continue north and west of Worcester. 

6PM-10 AM: Rain, heavy at times and windy. Freezing rain moves into NH. Temps in the upper 30's all night. SE winds gusting over 40 MPH along the coast. Watch for flooding. 

10 AM Sunday: Rain ends in Worcester. 

Noon: Steady Rain ends in Boston,  but still some showers around. Otherwise, remaining mostly cloudy with temps in the low to mid 40's. 

Accumulations: 

Sleet and freezing rain: A light glazing of ice is likely north and west of Worcester. Not much ice buildup inside of 495. 

Rain: 1-2 inches of rain should fall over most of the area.  

Monday: As cold air comes in behind the storm and a front comes through snow showers or light snow are likely. Some accumulation is possible. Temps in the mid 30's.  Stay tuned for details. 

Dry Christmas

Cold air will begin to retreat from the area, but not until after a very cold day on Wednesday. The nor'easter that hammered us over the weekend is stalled in eastern Canada, and will begin to come back towards New England. In northern Maine another 8-12 inches of snow can be expected, but here in southern New England just a few snow showers. The next big storm to affect is will come in on Saturday, it may start as a mix but then quickly change to rain along the coast. However, there could be a prolonged period of ice inland. 

Local forecast: 

Tonight: Mainly clear, lows near 15 Downtown, 12 in JP and upper single numbers elsewhere. The wind will stay gusty, so wind chills will be near 0. 

Wednesday: Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Cold, high 26. NW winds of 10-20 MPH. Wind chill values as low as 5 below before 9 AM. Also wind chills will not make it beyond 15 in the afternoon. 

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers, mainly along the coast. Lows in the teens to 20. 

Christmas Eve Day: Mostly cloudy with a chance of an early snow shower, then some clearing in the afternoon. Warmer. high 35. 

Christmas eve: Dry for Santa, but cold. Lows in the 20's. 

Christmas Day: Increasing clouds, highs in the upper  30's. 

Friday night: Becoming Cloudy, lows in the 20's to near 30. 

Saturday: Still unclear how fast the storm will move in. The sooner it comes in, the more wintry precip is likely. However, a change to rain is expected in most areas along with windy conditions.  Highs in the 30' s to near 40. Stay tuned for details. 

Some East Coast Snow Totals

Before the storm reached New England the storm wreaked havoc over the rest of the East Coast. This nor'easter caused thousands of accidents, power outages and stranded people on roadways.

Some of the highest snow totals ( inches) :

Mastic, NY: 27.5 (on Long Island)
Fall River, MA: 25.2
Bethesda, MD: 24
Philly: 23.2 (second highest total ever!)
Baltimore: 20
Washington DC: 16.5
New York: 14.5
JP:15
Boston: (offical):10

Note: Boston Public Schools are closed for Monday, December 21.

Other school closings: http://wbztv.com/schoolclosings

More Snow Totals

The snow has finally ended in JP at around 4 PM. A grand total of around 15 inches fell here in JP. However, to the south the totals jumped, including 2 feet in Fall River. Totals dropped off to the NW.

Snow Totals (inches) : As of 5 PM

Fall river: 24.2
Bourne: 21.5
New Bedford: 20
Sandwich: 18.2
JP: 15
Gloucester, Foxborough, Wayland: 14
Winthrop, Lynn: 12
Cambridge: 11
Logan : 9 (unofficial)
Worcester: 7


Wind gusts (MPH):

Provincetown: 65
Nantucket: 62
Vineyard; 61
Falmouth: 58
Plymouth: 54
Hyannis: 52
Boston: 40

The week ahead:

Tonight: Cloudy early with snow showers, then clearing by dawn. Lows in the teens.

Monday: Sunny and windy. High 30. NW wind of 20-30 MPH.

Monday night: Clear, lows in the teens.

Tuesday: Sunny, highs in the upper 20's.

Wednesday: Increasing clouds with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the low to mid 30's.

Christmas eve: Increasing clouds, with highs in the 30's.

Christmas Day: A storm is likely in the afternoon or at night with snow changing to rain. Stay tuned.

Storm totals

Sorry I did not post another blog last night, as we did not arrive home until 1 AM. The snow was delayed coming into the Boston area because of all the dry, arctic air that was in place, so it took a while to moisten the atmosphere. Even though it was snowing thousands of feet in the air, the snow did not reach the surface. We were driving back from Medford at 1230, and the snow had just started to come down hard and a coating was on the ground by the time we made it back to JP. 

The heavy snow is now (11 am) beginning to wind down in Boston, but it is still snowing heavily south of Boston. Light snow will continue in Boston and on the North shore for most of the day, amounting an additional 2-4 inches. The snow has caused the most problems on the Cape, with winds gusting over 50 MPH and over a foot of snow in most towns there. Thousands of power outages have been reported, as well as 3-ft drifts of snow. Many side roads are impassible because of all the downed branches and the drifts of the wet snow over SE MA. 

 Snow totals (inches): As of 11 AM: 

Official JP total : 14.0 

Mansfield: 19.0 

Sandwich: 16.0

Attleborough: 15.0

Franklin: 14.0

Framingham: 11.0

Hingham: 11.0

Logan: 7.0(As of 5 AM) 

Rest of snow totals: http://weather.wbztv.com/US/MA/015.html

Wind gusts (MPH):

Nantucket: 62 

Hyannis: 57

Chatham: 52

Boston: 40 

Blizzard Warning!

A blizzard warning is now in effect for Bristol and Plymouth county as well as the Cape and Islands. A winter storm warning is in effect for the rest of the area, including Boston.  The snow is expected to arrive from south to north starting at around 5 PM on the Cape and at around 8 PM in Boston. It may begin as as some raindrops on the Cape because temps there are above freezing, but it will quickly change to snow. The wind-driven snow will fall heavily at times to around Sunday midday. 

Winds (MPH): NE/north winds will blow and drift the snow around making visibility near 0 at times. 

Cape and Islands: Sustained at 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60! 

South shore: 30-40 with gusts to 50. 

Boston and north shore: 20-30 with gusts to 45

Timeline: The snow start and end times. 

5 PM: Snow or mixed precip arrives on the Cape. 

8 PM: Snow arrives in Boston

10 PM: Snow reaches NH border. 

10 PM- 11AM : Nor'easter sets in- heavy snow and strong winds, blowing and drifting as well. 

After 11AM: Heavy snow moves out, but still steady snow along the coast. 

4 PM: Snow ends along the coast. 

Totals (inches): My latest snow totals for the area.  

14-20+  South of a line From Hull to Providence on to the Cape. Less is expected on the outer cape because of rain mixing in. Areas like Brockton, Weymouth, Taunton, Falmouth, New Bedford.

10-14: From there to a line from Gloucester to Framingham to Worcester. Includes the Boston area. Areas like Cambridge, Wakefield, Milton, Walpole, Norwood and Concord. About a foot in JP.

6-10: From there to a line from Lawrence to Lowell to Leominster. 

2-6: North of the 495 belt. 

Temps should remain near 30 before midnight, then fall into the low and mid 20's and hold steady through Sunday. 

Another update later today. 

Blizzard!

A blizzard watch has been issued for the coastline from Hull southward, including the Cape and islands. A winter storm watch is in effect from Boston to Worcester to Lowell. The storm will make its closest pass on Sunday morning. Before the storm reaches our area it will drop a foot or more of snow in Washington, Philly and NYC. A blizzard warning is already in effect for Long Island, NY.

What is a blizzard? the official is at least 3 hours straight of snow, winds of 35 MPH+ and visibility less than 1/4 of a mile.

Winds:

Cape and islands: Sustained of 30-40 with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds are capable of downing power lines and trees.

South shore: 20-30 with gusts to 50 MPH.

Boston and north shore: 15-25 with gusts to 45 MPH.

Inland: Breezy, with gusts over 30 MPH in some spots.



Timeline for Saturday night:

5PM: Snow reaches the Cape; however it may start as a mix on Nantucket.

10 PM: Snow reaches the Boston area.

Midnight: Snow reaches NH border.

1 AM onward: Snow, heavy at times along with very strong winds.

2 PM: The snow tapers off along the coast.


Amounts (inches): There will be a very sharp cutoff of the heavy snow extending from the north shore southwest to Framingham just north of Worcester. North of that line, less snow will fall.

12-16+: South of a line extending from Plymouth to Taunton including most of the Cape and the Vineyard, but maybe a bit less on Nantucket and the outer cape because of mixing with rain. It is possible that some spots come away with 20 inches.

8-12: South of a line extending from Gloucester to Worcester. It does include the immediate Boston area. Areas like Lincoln, Medford, Stoughton, and Walpole. 9 or 10 inches should fall in JP.

4-8: North of the Gloucester to Worcester line. Areas like Lowell, Haverill, Littleton, Harvard,

2-4 Orange to Leominster to Lawrence.

less than 2: In NH.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Clear, remaining very cold. Lows in the single numbers in most areas to 15 Downtown.

Saturday: Becoming cloudy, high 30. Snow arrives from south to north,

Saturday night and Sunday: Near steady temp in the mid to upper 20's. Otherwise, follow timeline.

Blizzard Sunday?

Today was the coldest day since last winter with highs only reaching 21 in Boston, and wind chills near 0 all day. Tonight will be just above 0 in most suburbs, and tomorrow will be cold as well. The cold air will remain in place for the potential of a major snowstorm this weekend. A storm will come part way up the east coast on Saturday giving 6-12+ inches of snow in interior North Carolina, DC and Baltimore. The question is how close will the storm come to us? One trustworthy model gives us a major blizzard Saturday night and Sunday with over a FOOT OF SNOW for most of the area, and winds over 40 MPH. Of course, one of the other models I trust sends the storm mostly out to sea with light accumulations from Boston points south and east.


Local forecast:

Tonight: Frigid and breezy. Lows in the middle single digits in most suburbs, but near 12 Downtown and on the Cape. Also, if the wind drops off a few locations could drop below 0. Wind chill values below 0 all night.

Friday: Not as cold and sunny. High 27. NW winds of 10-20 MPH. Wind chill values as low as 5 below before 9 AM.

Friday night: Clear, lows in the teens.

Saturday: Sunny early, then increasing clouds. High near 30.

Sunday: Watching potential nor'easter. Temps near 30, so it would be mostly snow for this storm. Stay tuned for details.

Very cold!

Tonight will be the coldest night so far with all areas in the single numbers and teens. Thursday will not break 20 in some areas, as the arctic air invades the region. Friday and Saturday will be cold as well, then all eyes will turn to a storm to the south. The storm will come up the coast and make its closest past on Sunday, but it is still unclear how close it will come. It does seems likely that some snow will fall on Sunday, but the exact track will determine how much. There is no doubt that it will remain cold well into next week.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Frigid with a chance of a snow shower this evening, then partly cloudy. Lows near 9 in most suburbs to 14 in JP, and 17 Downtown. The wind gusting over 30 MPH will make it feel below 0 at times after midnight.

Thursday: Very cold, sunny and windy. High 21. NW winds gusting to 40 MPH in the morning, then gradually diminishing. Wind chill values as low as 5 below before 9 AM.

Thursday night: Clear, lows near 13 in Boston, 11 in JP, and single numbers elsewhere.

Friday: Sunny, but still very cold. High 26.

Saturday: Sunny, then increasing clouds. Highs near 30.

Sunday: Watching coastal storm, but some snow is likely. Highs in the low 30's. Stay tuned for details.

Prolonged cold

The cold air is now arriving and here to stay for the foreseeable future. Thursday will be the coldest of the next several, with highs struggling to reach the mid 20's, but most days will be in the upper 20's to low 30's. However, it will by dry until Sunday. Then, there is a threat of an ocean storm which at the moment looks to head out to sea. However, we will need to watch it for the potential for snow.

Local forecast:

Tonight: The cold air arrives as lows will range from 22-28.

Wednesday: Sunny, high near 31 around noon, but falling into the mid and upper 20's in the afternoon. The wind will make it feel like 15. NW winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH.

Wednesday night: Clear and breezy. Lows in the low to mid teens, but wind chills will be near 0.

Thursday: Coldest day yet, but bright. High 24. NW winds of 15-25 MPH.

Friday: Sunny and still breezy, high 30. NW wind of 10-25 MPH.

Saturday: Sunny, high 32.

100th post!

Thank you for reading my blog! I enjoy writing about the weather here in Boston on a daily basis, and will continue write as often as I can. Please fell free to post any comments, suggestions or questions you have!

Now to the weather: This morning I slipped and fell on my street because of the black ice. Many accidents were reported throughout the area because of the black ice. There were even some school delays because of the slippery conditions. Tomorrow an arctic front will come through bringing very cold air into the area for the rest of the week, however we will be storm free.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy lows in the low to mid 30's. A flurry or sprinkle is possible.

Tuesday: Cloudy with a risk of a shower in the morning, then some clearing in the afternoon. High near 48, but falling into the low 40's by evening.

Tuesday night: Clearing and colder. Lows in the low to mid 20's.

Wednesday: Sunny and cold. High 30. West winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH.

Thursday: Sunny and less windy, highs in the upper 20's. West winds of 10-20 MPH.

Friday: Sunny, highs in the low 30's.

Wet, Not White

Temps this afternoon have risen to around 40, as the wind has shifted to the SW. Temps have risen very quickly considering it was as low as 2 above zero this morning in Orange, MA, and many suburbs were in the mid teens. The rain has already arrived in Albany and Worcester and Boston are next in line- the rain should reach Boston at around 4 PM. It may start as brief period of wet snow north and west of 495. Otherwise, all rain is expected with this event.

Local forecast:

This afternoon: Rain arriving from west to east by 5 PM, except a brief period of snow NW of 495. High 44. South winds of 10-15 MPH.

Tonight: Rain until 1 AM, then partial clearing. Lows in the low to mid 30's.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny and warmer. High 47. NW winds of 10-20 MPH.

Monday night: Becoming cloudy with precipitation possible. Lows in the 30's.

Tuesday: Cloudy with showers possible early possibly changing to snow by evening. High near 40. Stay tuned for details.

World weather:
Wind chills in the northern plain states this morning were as low as 54 below zero! Parts of New York state picked up 4 feet of lake effect snow over the last couple of days.

Arctic blast!

NW winds will bring down really cold air from Canada as temps tomorrow will not be above freezing. With 25 MPH winds it will feel more like 15 during the day. Saturday will be cold as well, but both days will feature bright blue skies. The next threat for snow is Sunday afternoon.


Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Clear, lows ranging from 20-25. A gusty west wind.

Friday: Sunny, but very cold. High 31. NW winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH.

Friday night : Clear and frigid. Lows near 19 in Boston and 13 in most suburbs.

Saturday: Sunny and less windy with a high of 34.

Sunday: Becoming cloudy with light snow or rain possible in the afternoon. There is potential for a few inches from Boston points north and west. Highs in the mid 30's.

What a day!

The snow started flying at around 6 am in Boston, and quickly changed to rain along the immediate water's edge. However, the rain/snow line stalled there for several hours. At one point is was even snowing in Falmouth, but raining in Beverly. I was at school in Brighton and we got around 2 or 3 inches before it changed to rain at around 10. However, just inland from the city the totals jumped--including 5.7 inches on top of Blue Hill. Even towns as close as Winchester picked up 5 inches or more before the changeover. Some places in northern Mass. picked up close to a foot of snow! Some snow fell at Logan, but we are still waiting for the official total. 

For more snow totals: 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS

We also had some strong wind gusts along the coast:

Nantucket: 51 mph

Blue hill: 51

Chatham:48

Boston: 48 

Now, at 8 pm, thunderstorms are crossing the region. I  saw lightning at around 7 PM this evening here in JP as the cold air came crashing towards the coast. I don't expect a flash freeze in the city, but there will be some icy spots. However, outside of the city a freeze is possible so be careful in the morning. 

Latest forecast: 

Tonight: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms this evening, then clearing and windy. Fog this evening. Lows near 34 Downtown, 32 in JP and 29 in many suburbs. West winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH.

Thursday: Sunny and blustery. High near 42. West winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH. Wind chills in the 20's.

Thursday night: The coldest night so far as the arctic air arrives. Lows near 20 in the city and teens elsewhere.

Friday: Bright blue skies and very cold, high 29. NW winds gusting over 30 MPH.

Next storm potential: Watching a coastal storm for Sunday. At this early stage it looks like a grazing with just light snow. Stay tuned for details. 

Major Storm Wednesday (but mostly rain)

A major storm system will affect the region with heavy snow, rain and 60 MPH wind gusts. The snow will start just before dawn and fall heavily at times through the morning commute from Boston points north and west. It will briefly start as snow south of Boston, then turn to heavy rain. It will begin to change to rain in Boston by 9 am, 11 am north and west of 128, and noon near Worcester. Winds will gust out of the east to 50 MPH in Boston and 60 MPH on the Cape. It will all begin to wind down by the evening commute. Highs will range from near 36 in Worcester to around 45 in Boston and 50 on the Cape.

Local alerts: A Winter Weather Advisory in effect for Essex, Middlesex, Norfolk and points north and west from Worcester. It is in effect until 1 PM Wednesday.

A high Wind Watch on the cape, and a Wind Advisory for the rest of the coastline, including Boston. It is in effect until 3 PM.

A Coastal Flood warning in effect until 7 PM for entire coastline, including Boston.

Timeline:

4 AM: Snow moves into the Worcester area.
5-6 AM: Snow moves into Boston.
7 AM: Snow changes to rain south of Boston. Begins as all rain on the cape.
8 AM: Snow, heavy at times falling from Boston to Providence points north. Starting to mix south of 95.
9 AM: The rain/snow line moves into Boston. Snow to the NW and rain to the SE. Becoming windy.
9-noon: The snow changes to rain from SE to NW, finally reaching the NH border area by noon. Very windy.
12-4 PM: Rain, heavy at times and very windy. This is when we can expect the strongest winds.
4 PM: Rain tapers to showers.

Snow amounts:

Up to 2: From providence along 95 to the immediate Boston area. Including areas like Newton, Dedham, Cambridge. A little under an inch in JP.

2-4: North of the Pike and west of 128. Areas like Bedford, Concord, Framingham.

4-6+: West of 495 including the Worcester area.

Snow day potential: Unfortunately I am not the person who makes the decisions. However, there is a possibility of delays or closings north and west of Boston. If you want the latest closings you can check out the WBZ storm center.

http://wbztv.com/schoolclosings

Mainly rain Wednesday

The storm for Wednesday will track to the west of New England allowing for strong SE winds. Those winds will bring warm air in to the area off the Atlantic. That means any snow will quickly change to rain along the coast. However, west of 495 the transition to rain may take longer. Before the changeover snow may amount to an inch or two in and around the city, and 2-4 inches west of 495. 

Tonight: Cloudy with an isolated snow shower possible, then clearing late. Lows near 30 in the city and 25 in the suburbs. 

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, highs near 40. A light NW wind.

Tuesday night: Clouds gathering with snow arriving from west to east by 4 am. 

Wednesday: Snow until 9 AM in the city, 10 Am outside of 128 and noon west of 495. Then, heavy rain and windy. High near 42 in Boston and 36 in Worcester. Snow totals of around an inch or two in the city points north and west to 495 and 2-4+ west of 495. SE winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH in the city and 50 MPH on the cape. 

Thursday: Clearing, high 40.

Friday: Arctic air begins to take hold of the region as highs may not reach 30!  

Snow Totals

Snow fell heavily in most areas overnight accumulating a general 2-5 inches. Be sure to shovel any snow or slush off the sidewalks, because temps will drop into the 20's in all areas tonight causing any water to freeze.  

Snow totals (inches): 

Blue hill: 5.3 

Topsfield: 5.0 

Framingham: 4.5 

Arlington: 4.0

Worcester: 3.7

Mansfield: 3.5 

JP: 3.0 

Logan: 2.7 

The week ahead:

Today: Sunny and breezy. Cold, with highs in the upper 30's to near 40. NW winds 10- 20 MPH. It will feel more like 30 for most of the day. 

Tonight: Clear to partly cloudy and cold. Lows near 29 Downtown, 26 in JP and 20 in most outline areas. 

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny and chilly. A slight risk of a snow shower after 5 PM. High 40. Light NW wind.  

Monday night: A chance of a snow shower in the evening, otherwise mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20's to near 30. 

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, then increasing clouds. Highs in the 30's to near 40.

Wednesday: A stormy day is expected with snow in the morning changing to freezing rain and then rain. Some snow accumulation is  possible. Very windy with highs in the upper 30's. Stay tuned for details. 

Thursday and Friday : Cold air comes pouring down from Canada behind the storm. Windy with highs in the low to mid 30's both days. 

10 PM update

It transitioned to all snow for the Boston area around 7 PM and is now falling heavily. It has now changed to snow as far south as Plymouth. The snow  has finally started to stick on the pavement here in JP, and about an inch has fallen on grassy areas and most cars. Total accumulation for most area of about 2-4 inches with some totals near 6 possible along and west of 495. About 3 inches on grassy areas should fall in JP, and a bit less on paved surfaces.  Snow totals in the morning. 

545PM update

Flakes are starting to mix in with the rain here in JP, with a current temp of 34. Flakes are also being reported at Logan with a temp of 36 there. I expect a full changeover in Boston in the next hour or 2. It is now mainly snow with rain mixing in west of 128. Temps still near 40 south of Boston. No change in projected snow totals. Another update later.

Slightly more

The temp has dropped under 40 in JP and west of the city as of 2 PM. Snow is falling in Worcester and snow is mixing with rain inside of 495.  The rain/snow line will collapse towards the city over the next several hours. It will change to all snow by 8 PM in Boston. Then it will snow until around 5 AM Sunday, before tapering to flurries. It will stay all rain on the Cape. 

Total accumulations: 

up to 1 inch: Plymouth to Taunton points south. None on the Cape. 

2-3 inches:  South of Providence northeastward to Brockton to Hull. Areas like Mansfield, Easton, Weymouth.    

3-4: Providence northeastward up 95 including the immediate Boston area. Also north of town east of 95. Around 3 inches in JP.  Areas like Dedham, Newton, Medford, Essex County. 

4-6+: West of 128 - between 95 and the pike. Areas like Foxboro, Framingham, Concord,  Andover.  6 or more possible in the Worcester hills.  

Sunday: Clearing and cold, high 38.

Extended: Some snow showers are possible on Monday night A bigger storm is possible on Wednesday, but the precip type is not known at this time. Either way the work week will be very cold. 

Update

Not much change from previous post. I still think rain will change to snow at around 8 PM in Boston, and by 6 pm west of 128. The snow will amount 2- 3 and possibly up to 4 inches inside of 128, including Boston. Less to the south of Boston, and 4-6+ north and west of 128. Scroll down for more details.

Another update tomorrow.

Snowstorm!

It now appears that the storm will come much closer to the region, providing parts of the area with several inches of snow. It will actually start as rain for most areas at around 2 PM. Then gradually change to snow from west to east. It will stay all rain on the Cape.

Timeline:

2 PM: Rain showers arrive.

5 PM: Rain in Boston, a mixture outside of 128 and snow near Worcester.

8 PM: Snow/rain line inside of 128, snow to the north and west and rain to the south and east.

11 PM: Snowing in Boston and western and northern suburbs. Rain on the south shore

After midnight: Snow, heavy at times in most areas, except rain on the Cape.

Dawn Sunday: Light to moderate snow will still be falling inside of 495.

10 AM: The storm ends with flurries. Then turning sunny.

Amounts:

1 inch: south shore and south coast.

2-3: inches Providence, RI northeastward through the immediate Boston area and on the north shore. About 2 inches should fall in JP.

3-4: Along and just north and west of 128.

4-6: Beyond 10 miles north and west of 128.

6+- in and around the Worcester to Fitchburg corridor.



Forecast:


Tonight: Clouding up with lows in the 30's.


Saturday and Saturday night: High near 40 and low near 30. Please follow the timeline above. Winds NE during the day then shifting to north with gusts to 40 MPH in the Boston area and 45 MPH on the cape.

Sunday: Turning sunny after some morning snow. Cold with a high of 38.


This is all subject to change, so watch for my updates.

Some Snow Saturday

Today was a wild day with heavy rain early this morning along with very strong winds. Then temps soared to near 70. It officially hit 69 at Logan, but many towns did hit 70! That temp broke the record set in 1932 of 65.

Some totals from today:

Rain (inches):
Acushnet: 1.5
Brockton: 1.4
Bedford: 1.3

Wind gusts (MPH) :

Blue Hill: 72
Barnstable: 56
Boston: 53
Stow: 50


It now appears that the storm on Saturday night will come a bit closer to the region. Although it still unclear how close it will come. One model has a direct hit with many inches of snow, but the other shows just light snow with for most of the area with minor accumulation. I am leaning more towards the grazing, but we are not out of the woods yet. Based on that track snow may amount up to 2 inches from Boston points north along the coast. It will probably will start out as rain showers, but then change to snow for most areas. South of the city it may be too warm for snow, especially on the Cape. Away from the coast a few snow showers may fall.


Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Mainly clear, lows in the upper 30's to near 40. Winds shifting to west at 10-20 MPH.

Friday: Bright blue sky with a high near 52. A west wind up to 20 MPH.

Friday night: Clouds gathering after midnight. Lows near 34 Downtown, 32 in JP and the upper 20's outside the city.

Saturday: Cloudy until late in the day, then some rain showers may arrive. High 42. A light north wind.

Saturday night: Still in question, but some snow is likely. Lows near 36 on the cape and the upper 20's to near 30 elsewhere. Total accumulation up to 2 inches.

Sunday: A snow shower is possible in the morning, then partly sunny. High 39.

Rain, but NO snow.

A big storm is on its way for tonight and the drive to work and school tomorrow. It will bring bring heavy rain and very strong winds. The southerly winds will pile up the water on the cape and Islands, so a Coastal Flood Warning is in effect there. The winds will also pump in warm air, as temps will be near 60 by dawn.

It now appears that there will be no snowstorm this weekend. There is good agreement between the models that the storm will head mostly out to sea. It will just graze us with some light rain showers, eventually changing to snow showers on Saturday evening. A minor accumulation is possible over parts of the area. However, a slight shift west may bring a bit more precip overnight Saturday.

Local alerts: A Wind Advisory is in effect until 1 PM Thursday for most of the area.
A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Cape.
A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the Cape.

Tonight: Showers arriving at around 9 PM, then rain after midnight. Very windy with temps rising to about 60 by Dawn. South winds increasing to 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH in Boston and 50 MPH on the Cape.

Thursday: Heavy rain until 10 AM, then becoming sunny. Very windy with highs near 65 in the morning, but dropping to 55 in the afternoon. South winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH in Boston and 60 MPH on the Cape.

Thursday night: Clear, lows in the 30's to near 40. West winds of 10-20 MPH.

Friday: Sunny, highs near 50.

Saturday: Clouds gathering in the morning. Then, rain showers south of Boston and snow showers from the city points north in the afternoon. A little accumulation is possible. High 38.

Wet Thursday.... and White Saturday?

A big storm will effect the region Wednesday night and Thursday with heavy rain and wind gusts to 50 MPH. It will also be very warm as temps on Thursday afternoon may hit 65! Then all eyes turn to a storm gathering to the south. At this point it seems we will only get grazed by a major ocean storm. That means just light snow for most of the area, especially SE Mass. But, it is still many days away and a track closer would mean a decent snowstorm.

Record update: Despite dropping to around 30 in JP last night, it only dropped to 33 at Logan. So unless Logan hits 32 tonight we will set a new record for the latest freeze ever in Boston.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Some clouds early, then clearing and cold. Lows near 34 Downtown, 31 in JP and 26 in most outlying areas.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny until 10 AM, then increasing clouds. Warmer, high 52. SW winds around 10 MPH.

Wednesday night: Rain arriving from south to north and becoming heavy. Windy. Lows near 45 early, then rising to around 58 by dawn. SE winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH.

Thursday: Heavy rain with a rumble of thunder or two until 11 AM, then clearing. Very warm and windy. High 65. Winds shifting to SW at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH in Boston and 55 MPH on the Cape. Coastal flooding is possible along south facing beaches.

Friday: Sunny, high 48. A light wind.

Rain is certain, but what about SNOW?

Tonight will be the coldest night of the season so far with most areas dropping in to the low to mid 20's, although around 35 Downtown. Tuesday will feature a mix of sun and clouds and temps around 45. Wednesday will have increasing clouds as the next storm approaches. The storm will bring heavy rain on Wednesday night and Thursday morning along with SE winds gusting over 50 MPH! Some coastal flooding is probable for south facing beaches. Behind the storm very cold air will come in for the weekend as a storm rolls up the coast. It may be cold enough to support snow...something to watch closely.

Potential record: The latest freeze (32 or below) ever recorded for Boston is Dec. 2. It has not reached 32 yet at Logan, and it will likely not make it tonight or Tuesday night. That means a new record will be set!

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Rain over SE mass until 9 PM, otherwise clearing and turning colder. Lows near 35 Downtown, 32 in JP and 24 in most suburbs.

Tuesday: A blend of sun and clouds. High 45. NW wind of 10-20 MPH.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy, lows near 35 Downtown, 32 in JP and 27 in most outline areas.

Wednesday: Sunny in the morning, then increasing clouds. High 52.

Thursday: Heavy rain in the morning, then a few peaks of sun. Very windy and warm. High 62. SE gusts over 50 MPH.

Friday and weekend: Sunny skies and temps in the 40's on Friday. Then, temps in the 30's over the weekend along with a storm that will make a close pass to the coast on Saturday night. There is still a lot of uncertainty with the track of the storm. Stay tuned for details.

The Week Ahead

Monday will be cloudy with rain overspreading from NW to SE. The rain will arrive in Boston just before noon. It will then continue for most of the afternoon. Behind the system cold air will come into New England as temps on Tuesday may not reach 40 in some locations. Wednesday will be seasonable (about 50) and sunny; then we will watch a storm to our south as it begins to move in our direction. On Thursday heavy rain seems likely along with strong winds out of the south. Then it will turn cold again behind the storm.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Clouding up with temps falling into the mid 30's in most areas early, then rising into the low 40's by morning, although it will remain in the low to mid 40's in the city. Wind turning SW.

Monday: Cloudy until 11 AM, then rain. High 55. SW winds of 10-20 MPH.

Monday night: Rain until 7 PM, then clearing. Breezy with temps quickly dropping into the 30's in the city and the 20's in the suburbs. NW winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH.

Tuesday: Coldest day yet this season. Partly sunny and windy with highs near 40, but it will feel like it is in the upper 20's. NW winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Tuesday night: Boston's first freeze likely. Lows near 32 Downtown, 28 in JP and around 20 elsewhere.

Wednesday: Sunny with highs near 50. A light wind.

Thursday: A storm is likely with heavy rain and gusty winds. Warm with temps in the 50's to near 60.

Friday: Colder with highs near 40, but sunny.

High Wind Warning!

A High Wind Warning is now in effect until 4 PM this afternoon for wind gusts up to 60 MPH for all of the Bay State! These winds are capable of downing trees and power lines. The winds will also push clearing into the region, as we will finally see the sun by this afternoon. Sunday will be great with sunny skies and temps near 50. Monday will be showery as a cold front approaches from the west. Behind the front, Tuesday will be the coldest day of the season so far. 

Boston, MA forecast:

Today: Cloudy until 11 AM, then clearing from west to east. Very windy with near steady temps in the upper 40's to near 50. NW winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH! 

Tonight: Clear with wind gradually diminishing. Lows near 38 Downtown, 35 in JP and 32 in most outline areas. 

Sunday: Sunny and less windy. High 52. NW wind of 10-20 MPH. 

Sunday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, lows near 40.

Monday: Showers by afternoon. Breezy with highs near 50. 

Tuesday: Windy and cold. High 40. The wind chill will be in the 20's for most of the day. 

World weather: Many icebergs are drifting towards the New Zealand coast.  These icebergs have broken off from the Antarctic ice cap.  Here's the story:

http://www.earthweek.com/2009/ew091127/ew091127a.html

 

Stormy Black Friday

Happy Thanksgiving!  We have some friends joining us this afternoon for dinner. Hope everyone enjoys their food. Make it a great holiday. 

Now to the weather: A storm centered off the Carolina coast will track NE and go right over the Cape tomorrow as it strengthens. That will provide the region with heavy rain and winds gusting over 30 MPH tomorrow. Then, as the storm races to Maine cold air will wrap in and turn rain to snow. Snow may pile up more than 1 foot in the mountains of northern New England. The rain will change to snow around Midnight west of Worcester and may amount to an inch or so. A snow shower or 2 is possible in the Boston area. It will also be very windy as winds gusts to 50 MPH are possible on Friday night and Saturday. 

Boston, MA forecast:

Thanksgiving Day: Cloudy. A sprinkle is possible. High 53. A light wind.

Tonight: Cloudy with showers possible before midnight, but the heavy rain arrives around dawn. Lows near 40. NE wind of 10-15 MPH.

Friday: Rain until 2 PM, then showers continuing. The rain may heavy at times. Windy with highs near 48. Winds shifting to West at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH. 

Friday night: Showers until midnight, then changing to snow showers from west to east. Very windy with lows in the 30's. Snow may amount to a foot or more over the northern mountains. NW winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH. 

Saturday: A chance of a snow shower before 10 AM, then the sun will finally come out. Very windy and chilly. High 45. NW wind of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. 

Saturday night: Clear with lows in the 30's. 

Sunday: Mostly sunny, high 52. West winds of 15-20 MPH. 

More of the same

It now appears that Wednesday and Thanksgiving day will have an onshore flow leading to more of the same--low clouds and drizzle for most areas. Then, a storm approaches from the south and a late day shower is possible on turkey day. A steadier rain will arrive overnight, and continue all day Friday and Friday night.

Thanksgiving week Forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy for most, except some clearing around NH border. Near steady temp around 45 in Boston area, but near 30 where it clears out.

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy, although some breaks of sun are possible. High 52 at the coast to 56 inland. A light NE wind.

Wednesday night: Cloudy. Lows in the low to mid 40's.

Thanksgiving Day: Mainly cloudy, but some breaks of sun are possible early. High 53. NE wind of 10-15 MPH.

Thursday night: Showers arriving by 7 PM. Becoming windy. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Friday: Showers. Windy. High 48. NE wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH.

Friday night: Rain changing to snow from west to east. A changeover to snow may never make it to the coast, including Boston. A minor accumulation is possible away from the coast. Lows near freezing. Windy. NE wind shifting to NW at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH.

Extended: It now appears that after a brief warmup early next week, winter-like air will come in for an extended period of time.

Dry For Travel

A piece has broken off from the main storm center, and so rain is in store for the night. The storm center will pass east of the Cape tonight. There may be a leftover shower Tuesday morning, but then dry for the remainder of the day. Wednesday is looking better and better with mostly sunny skies and temps in the mid 50's. Thanksgiving day will also be mostly sunny, with clouds arriving late day ahead of a major storm on Friday.

Thanksgiving week forecast:

Tonight: Rain, heaviest south of the city. Near steady temp around 45. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Tuesday: A couple of showers before 10AM, then cloudy with patchy drizzle. High 48. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Tuesday night: Cloudy in the evening, then some clearing by dawn. Low near 40 in the city and 30's elsewhere.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, high 56. A light wind.

Thanksgiving day: Sunny for most of the day, then late day clouds. High 53.

Friday: Stormy with heavy rain and strong winds. Colder air will work in at the end of the storm- stay tuned for updates.

Dreary Thanksgiving Week

The week will start with a lot of clouds on Monday and temps will not make it out of the 40's. Tuesday will be a wet and windy day as a storm from the south comes into New England. Wednesday, the big travel day, will be DRY, but there will be a lot of clouds and it will be cool. There could be a huge storm on Friday as the jet stream shifts. Either way, winter air will pour into New England from Canada next weekend. 

Boston, Ma Thanksgiving week Forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, lows near 40 Downtown, 37 in JP and 34 outside of 128. However, where it clears out it may drop into the 20's. 

Monday: Cloudy and cool with a risk of a light afternoon shower. Otherwise,  just a little patchy drizzle. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH. 

Monday night: Cloudy with drizzle for most of the night, then rain arriving by dawn. Low 44.

Tuesday: Periods of rain. Breezy. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH. 

Wednesday: Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, but also some patchy drizzle. High 50. A light onshore wind. 

Thanksgiving Day: Mostly cloudy  High 48. 

Friday: A major storm seems likely with heavy rain and strong winds. Temps in the 40's.  A shift to winter follows, although this storm will likely be a rain event in eastern Mass. Stay tuned for updates.  

Thanksgiving outlook

Showers will approach the area just before dawn Friday and continue until around noon. Then, there will be some sun as temps rise to near 60. The weekend looks nice with dry conditions and temps in the mid to upper 50's.


Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Warmer,with showers arriving around 5 AM. Lows near 50. SE wind of 10-15 MPH.

Friday: Showers until noon, then some sun and warmer. High 60. Breezy. Winds shifting to SW at 10-15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH.

Friday night: Partly cloudy, lows near 40.

Saturday: Sunny skies, high 59. West winds at 10-20 MPH.

Saturday night: Clear, lows in the 30's.

Sunday: Clouds increasing throughout the day and cooler. High 53. A cool NE wind of 10-15 MPH.

Thanksgiving forecast: The week will start with rain on Monday. Then, Wednesday and Turkey day may have some rain showers signaling the arrival of the cold air. Temps may struggle to reach 40 the days following Thanksgiving.

A wet Friday, but a nice weekend

Thursday will be another great day with sunny skies and temps in the mid to upper 50's. The storm stalled over the center of the country has a cold front and a warm front attached to it. The warm front will come through our area on Friday morning with showers, some heavy. The weekend looks nice with sunny skies and temps in the 50's, as a storm will hold off until Monday.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Mainly clear, but some clouds may come in around dawn. Lows near 37 Downtown, around freezing in JP and 25 in most suburbs. Frost is likely again.

Thursday: Sunny until 2 PM, then increasing clouds. High near 54 in Boston, and 58 inland. A light wind.

Thursday night: Clouds gathering with showers likely after 2 AM. Lows in the 40's.

Friday: Showers until 11AM, then partly sunny and warmer. High 63. West winds of 10-15 MPH.

Thanksgiving outlook: It may be rainy on turkey day, preceeding a quick cold blast from Canada. Stay tuned for more updates.

Great until Friday

A big area of high pressure is stalled over us and will provide sunny skies and temps in the 50's through Thursday. Then, a piece of a big storm stalled over the center of the country will head our way. As a result, light showers are expected on Friday. The main storm center will head north into Canada.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Clear and chilly. Lows near 40 in Boston, 37 in JP and around freezing elsewhere. Gusts from the north up to 25 MPH early.

Tuesday: Bright and seasonable. High 50. NE wind of 5-10 MPH.

Tuesday night: Clear, lows near 35 Downtown and 32 in JP and the mid 20's elsewhere,

Wednesday: Sunny with highs in the mid 50's. A light wind.

Thursday: A bright blue sky with highs in the mid 50's.

Thanksgiving outlook: the long range forecast suggests that a cold blast will come down from Canada on or just after Thanksgiving day. Stay tuned for updates.

Flooding

The steady to heavy rain has tapered to showers this afternoon. However, the rain caused puddles on the roads and played a part in a major accident on the Pike this morning, Also, Storrow drive was flooded near the Kenmore exit, causing a backup all the way to North Station. The showers will hang around until late this evening, then become more scattered. It will be better tomorrow with clearing from west to east and temps near 60. Next week seems to be sunny with temps mainly in the 50's.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight:Showers around this evening, then showers becoming more scattered after midnight. Lows in the upper 40's. NE wind of 10-15 MPH, gusting to 30 MPH on the Cape.

Sunday: A risk of a shower before 10 AM, then clearing from west to east. Because of the early sunset clearing may never reach the coast, including Boston. High 60. A light wind.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy early, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the 40's.

Rain totals (inches) so far according to weather bug:

Logan: 1.65
JP:1.5
Beverly: 1.78
Worcester: 1.31



One of my readers asked me what are some good radar sites. Here are some ones that I use:


www.wbztv.com
www.wcvb.com
www.weather.com

www.weatherunderground.com

Saturday Washout, better Sunday

The storm, remnants of Ida, is a little delayed coming in, and as a result the steady rain won't start until 11pm or midnight. The rain will continue all day Saturday and Saturday night, heavy at times. Up to 2 inches of rain can be expected in most areas. The wind will gust to 55 MPH on the Cape and the islands, and 40 MPH in Boston. Expect beach erosion and some splashover at high tide, as waves up to 15 feet can be expected.


Local alerts: A Wind Advisory in effect for the Cape and the islands for tonight.
A High Wind Watch in effect for the Cape and islands for tomorrow.
A Coastal Flood Warning in effect for the entire Mass. coastline.


Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy with sprinkles until midnight, except rain on the cape. Then rain will overspread the rest of the area. Near steady temps around 50. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45 on the cape, and 30 MPH in Boston and the north shore.

Saturday: Periods of rain. Windy. Highs in the 50's. NE wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts over 35 in Boston and 55 on the Cape and islands. Up to 2 inches of rain can be expected.

Saturday night: Rain until 11 PM, then showers continuing. Lows in the 40's. Winds decreasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts over 30 MPH along the coast.

Sunday: Cloudy with a chance of a shower before 10 am, then turning partly sunny and warmer. High 60. A light SW wind.

Sunday night: Partly to Mostly cloudy with lows in the 40's.

Storm totals from this week:

Rain: over a foot recorded in eastern North Carolina!
Winds: Gust to 75 MPH in Virgina.
Flooding: The worst coastal flooding in decades from North Carolina to Southern Jersey.

A Saturday Nor'easter

A major nor'easter is effecting the east coast today and tomorrow. Rain totals over 6 inches, winds gusting to near 70 MPH and waves to 25 Ft are occurring. Major coastal flooding is happening in Virginia and New Jersey as the storm is rapidly intensifying as is stalls just off the mid-Atlantic coast. The storm will gradually move northward starting tomorrow. 

Our effects: The rain will start on the Islands around mid-day Friday, 6 PM in Boston, and 8 PM around the NH border. The winds are already gusting to near 35 MPH on Nantucket, and winds may gust to 50 MPH on the cape to near 40 MPH in Boston and the North Shore. The rain will begin to wind down by Saturday night, but only after 1-2 inches of rain has fallen.

Local alerts: Wind advisory in effect on the Islands for Saturday.   

Tonight: A lot like last night; cloudy from Boston south, and some clearing by the NH border. Lows near 30 in southern NH, and 40 in Boston and 46 on the Cape. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH on the cape. 

Friday: Cloudy until mid-day, then rain arriving slowly from south to north. First on the islands, and then arriving around 6 in Boston and 8 in the southern NH. Windy, with highs near 50. NE wind increasing to 20-25 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH in Boston, 40 on the Cape and 45 on the islands.

Friday night: The brunt of the storm arrives with heavy rain and strong winds. Lows in the 40's. NE wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH on the cape, and 35 in Boston and the north shore. 

Saturday: The storm continues with periods of rain, some heavy, with strong winds. Highs in the 50's. NE wind of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 5o MPH on the cape, and 40 MPH in Boston and the north shore. The wind won't be as bad inland during the storm. 

Saturday night: Rain ends from south to north as the wind decreases. Showers continuing after midnight.  Lows in the 40's. NE winds gusting over 30 MPH along the coast. 

Sunday: Cloudy until noon, then sunny and nice. High 63. A drying west wind of 10-15 MPH. 

Sunday night: Clear, lows in the 40's. 

Nor'easter Saturday

It now appears that the storm will travel far enough north to provide us with a wind-driven rain Friday night and all day Saturday and into Saturday night. Winds may gust past 50 MPH on the cape and 40 MPH elsewhere along the coast. It will clear out Sunday afternoon. The storm is currently just now moving off the coast of the Carolinas, and it is expected to intensify tonight. The storm will be stalled to our south through Friday morning, then as High pressure moves out to sea, the storm will be allowed to move northward. It is not expected to become tropical, but there will be Tropical storm force winds (40 MPH+) along the coast from South Carolina to New Jersey through Friday. Also, there will be gusts over 60 MPH. Those areas will also have 5-8 inches of rain. So, it will have the same effect as a tropical storm would.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Some clearing is possible from Boston points north, but otherwise cloudy. Lows near freezing where it clears out, and 43 on the Cape. NE wind gusting over 20 MPH. 

Thursday: Limited sun with a brisk NE wind of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH along the coast. High 50. 

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the 30's.

Friday: Clouds gathering, with showers arriving around sunset. High 50. NE wind increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH on the cape, and 30 in Boston. 

Friday night: Showers and windy. Lows in the 40's. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH in Boston and 45 MPH on the cape.  

Nor'easter for us this weekend?

It now appears that the remnants of Ida will reform off the Carolina coast and become a strong storm as it remains nearly stationary. It probably won't become tropical, but the gale center may have Hurricane force winds. This storm will provide over 6 inches of rain and gusts past 65 MPH for the Carolinas into New Jersey.  Meanwhile, high pressure settles over us for Wednesday through Friday, keeping the storm to our south for now. However, with a wind off the water it will be cooler. Also, a storm is forming north of Puerto Rico, and is moving NW. This may combine with Ida's remnants giving the Nor'easter even more of a punch. Then the storm will start moving northward this weekend. 

Our potential effects: 

The big question is how far north will the storm travel? The latest model runs suggest it will travel just close enough to graze the region with showers and gusty winds on Saturday into Sunday morning. However, the models seem to bring it closer than they did yesterday, so the major storm will need to be watched.  

Boston, MA forecast: 

Tonight: Mainly cloudy, lows in the low to mid 40's. A shower is possible. Wind turning NE. 

Wednesday: Cloudy until 11AM, then increasing sun from north to south. A shower is possible. High 51. NE winds of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Wednesday night: Clearing and  cold as the wind diminishes. Lows near 36 in Boston and 32 in JP and 20's in most suburbs. 

Thursday: Sunny, high 54. A light east wind. 

Ida

Tropical Storm Ida is currently just to the SE of New Orleans with winds of 70 MPH. In Baton Rouge my dad has experienced some wind and a few drops, but nothing big. Along the Gulf Coast winds are expected to increase to 60 MPH overnight and up to 7 inches of rain can be expected.

Our potential effects:

It will move inland tonight, and as it slowly moves back towards the coast it will transfer its energy to a storm off the Carolinas. This storm will blow up into a very strong storm, possibly a Hurricane. Even though one model brings a strong nor'easter to New England, it now seems that the storm will track ENE, and bring heavy rain and winds gusting over 60 MPH to North Carolina into southern New Jersey as the storm travels well south of New England. That track may bring the rain to the Vineyard and Nantucket on Wednesday, but the rain will likely not come any further north. Winds may gust past 55 MPH on the cape and 40 MPH in Boston. However, mostly cloudy skies and no rain are expected in the Boston area. Still, we need to keep an eye on this storm for any shifts in the track.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Lows near 50. South winds of 10-15 with gusts to 30 MPH early, then decreasing.

Tuesday: More clouds than sun, and not as warm. High 60 in Boston, and 62 inland. Wind turning NE at 10-15 MPH.

Tuesday night: Clouds gathering, lows near 40. Wind out of the NE at 10-20 MPH.

Wednesday: Watching Ida. Mostly likely rain on the islands, and most cloudy elsewhere. Winds will gust to 40 MPH in Boston and 55 MPH on the Cape and Islands.

Hurricane Watch

A Hurricane Watch has been posted from just east of New Orleans to the Florida panhandle. A tropical storm watch is in effect for New Orleans. That means that Hurricane or Tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours. Hurricane Ida is currently just entering the Gulf of Mexico with winds of 105 MPH. It is expected to make a close pass to the MS/LA border with near 90 MPH Monday night, before turning into Florida as a Tropical storm. My dad flew to New Orleans earlier today but his meeting is in Baton Rouge, NW of New Orleans. In Baton Rouge, he will have heavy rain and winds gusting to 40 MPH, but not as bad as along the Gulf Coast. Afterwards, Ida is expected to re-strengthen in to a major coastal storm off the Carolina coast. There are 2 possible outcomes from there. One model sends it out to sea well south of the Cape, the other brings it up the coast, and gives the northeast a wind and rain event Wednesday into Thursday. The first outcome seems more likely at this point.

Boston, Ma forecast:

Tonight: Clear, lows near 40 in Most suburbs to 46 Downtown.

Monday: A great day with sunny skies with temps soaring to near 70 for most! 6o's on the Cape. South winds of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH.

Monday night: Clear, with lows in the 40's to near 50.

Tuesday: More clouds than Monday, but still great. High 68. A light west wind.

Tropical Storm Ida

Ida is now centered near Cuba, and is headed north into the Gulf of Mexico. It has rapidly gained strength and now has winds of 70 MPH, and is expected to become a hurricane tonight. The latest projected path from the Hurricane Center has it moving north towards the Louisiana (LA) coast, then turning east at the last minute and heading towards the West Coast of Florida. Too bad for my dad, who is planning to fly to New Orleans on Sunday for a meeting, and fly home on Tuesday. Ida may be very close to the LA coast on Tuesday or Wednesday, before veering east. One model then brings the storm up the East Coast, putting the storm center over New England on Thursday. It would not be a hurricane at this point, just a nor'easter type system. However, at this early stage it seems that the most likely outcome is for Ida to get pushed by a cold front, and then head out to sea.

Meanwhile, a storm is forming near the Texas coast, and is forecasted to move towards the LA coast as well Sunday night, bringing heavy rain and winds gusting over 50 MPH, even if Ida turns towards Florida. It is possible that the storms combine and become one huge storm, but that seems unlikely.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy, lows near 40.

Sunday: A pleasant day with sunny skies and temps near 65.

Sunday night: Clear, lows in the 30's.

Monday: Sunny, high 63.

TD Ida

Tropical depression Ida near Nicaragua has moved back over warmer waters and is expected to re-strengthen into a Tropical Storm and move north and into the Gulf of Mexico by Monday. Then it is expected take a turn to the east towards Florida by Wednesday. Our weather will warm up this weekend, and continue on Monday and Tuesday before the pattern turns cold and stormy again.

Local alerts: Frost advisory in effect for the Cape and Nantucket.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Clear and cold. Lows near 34 downtown, and 30 in JP and the low to mid 20's in most other areas. A hard freeze is expected for the suburbs.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, high near 50. Light SW wind.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows near 40.

Sunday: A beautiful day with sunny skies and temps in the low to mid 60's for most areas. A steady NW wind.

Sunday night: Clear, lows in the 30's.


World weather: A mega storm is in the Gulf of Alaska, as the storm is covering THOUSANDS of miles. It is expected to invade SW Canada with feet of Snow.

No big storm

The strong coastal storm is going further out to sea then previously thought, just providing the area with wind and cold air. The area may get a few light rain or snow showers by a weak storm approaching from the west, but the bigger story will be the warm up begins this weekend. Cold air comes in briefly for Friday, but then a warm front comes through on Saturday, and temps on Sunday may be in the low 60's.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy with scattered showers of rain in the evening, then scattered rain and snow showers after midnight. Lows in the 30's. North winds of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH.

Friday: Chilly and windy. A chance of a snow shower before 9 AM, then quickly becoming sunny. High 46. NW wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Friday night: Clear, coldest night yet this season with lows around 34 in Boston and the 20's elsewhere.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, high near 50.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy, lows in the 30's to near 40.

Sunday: Great day with sunny skies and temps near and just above 60!

Extended: Early next week will be warm, with temps in the mid and upper 60's!

Tropics: Tropical Storm Ida formed yesterday near Costa Rica, and it quickly became Hurricane Ida. It has now moved inland, and weakened to a Tropical Storm with winds of 60 MPH. The track takes it northward, and into the Gulf of Mexico by early next week.

Another Nor'easter

A storm will come up the coast on Thursday and blow up into a huge storm. However, it will become a big storm slightly too far east to deliver a big punch here, but Maine is expected to have accumulating snow. Even so, we in Boston will have the cold air and the strong winds, especially on Cape Cod. The showers will move in on Thursday afternoon, and continue through the night and into Friday morning. However, as cold air gets pulled down from the north the precip may mix with snow overnight Thursday. Then, as the wind shifts to the NW early Friday morning , it may change to all snow showers- even in the city. Little or no accumulation is expected.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Clouds early, then clearing and chilly. Lows around 32 in the coldest areas to 35 in JP to 38 Downtown.

Wednesday: Bright and sunny, clouds may start to increase right before the sun sets. Chilly, high 48. West wind of 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30's.

Thursday: Cloudy until 2pm, then showers. Chilly, high 46. Wind shifting to the NE at 15-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Thursday night: Showers until 1am, then the rain showers will mix with snow. Lows in the low to mid 30's. Windy. NE wind shifting to north at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH, except winds may gust past 50 MPH on the Cape.

Friday: Coldest day so far this season. SNOW showers likely until 10 am, except rain showers on the Cape. Then partly sunny. Cold and windy. High 43. NW winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH; it may feel like the LOW 20'S at times. Little or no snow accumulation is expected.

Tropics: The storm near Bermuda failed to become a named storm (it would have been Ida) as it moves toward Canada. But, a storm near Costa Rica may form into a tropical storm as it slowly moves northward.

Cold week

Today is the first day of November-usually a dark and cold month. This week will be cold, and a couple storms bear watching . High temps will be near 50 for most of the week, and showers are possible on Tuesday and a bigger storm is possible Thursday. In addition to the possible Thursday storm, there is a strong storm center about 400 Miles east of Bermuda, and it is gaining tropical assets. It is expected to become Tropical or subtropical Storm Ida over the next day or so as it slowly moves towards Bermuda. The models indicate it will slowly move NW, then rapidly move north towards Newfoundland, and not come close to us. However, as it continues to nudge westward we need to keep an eye on this storm.

Boston, Ma forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy, except cloudy from Plymouth points SE. Lows near 34 in coldest areas, 42 Downtown, and 40 in JP.


Monday: Sunny until noon, then cloudy. Cool, with highs near 48 at the coast to 52 outside of 128. A chance of showers from Plymouth points south and east from a ocean storm. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Monday night: Cloudy with a few light showers possible on the Cape. Lows near 40.

Tuesday: Cloudy early, then becoming sunny around midday, then cloudy again with a chance of a sprinkle. Highs in the low to mid 50's. West wind around 10 MPH.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a chance of a sprinkle early, then partly cloudy. Lows in the 20's to the mid 30's.

Trick or treat!

A wind advisory has been issued for Eastern Mass from Plymouth County points northwards. Gusts will approach 50 MPH this afternoon. The strong SW winds have brought in warm air, as temps are already over 70! It still appears that showers will move in to Boston at around 9 PM and in Worcester by 8, although a few scattered showers are possible before then.

Local Alerts: A Wind Advisory in effect until 6 PM this evening. Boston just reported a gust of 47 MPH.

Today: Mostly cloudy with sunny breaks. An isolated shower is possible. Very windy with highs near 74 around Boston, but 60 0n the Cape. SW winds of 20-30 MPH with a gusts to 50 MPH. Sunset: 5:38

Tonight: Cloudy and windy. Showers arriving from west to east by 9 PM and then continuing. Lows near 50. SW winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH. Then decreasing to west at 10-20 MPH. The hour by hour forecast is below. Reminder: Don't forget to set your clocks back one hour.

Sunday: Cloudy with a risk of a shower until 10 AM, then graudually turning sunny. Cooler, high 54. NW wind of 10-15 MPH. Sunset: 4:37

Sunday night: Clearing, lows in the 30's.

Hour by hour forecast:

5 PM: Mostly cloudy and windy. Temps in the upper 60's. SW winds gusting to 50 MPH!
6 PM: Mostly cloudy with a slight risk of a shower. Temps in the mid 60's. SW winds gusting to 45 MPH.
7 PM: A slight risk of a shower, temps in the 60's. Winds still gusting to 40 MPH.
8 PM: Showers becoming more widespread around Worcester. Still windy with temps near 60.
9 PM: Showers reaching the Boston area. Still windy with temps in the upper 50's.

Halloween forecast

Halloween looks to be windy, warm and dry for the daylight hours tomorrow. It hit 80 degrees in Cincinnati, Ohio today and that air is headed this way. With an overcast sky temps will not reach 80, but temps will be near and just above 70 from Boston points north and west. On the south coast and the Cape the strong SW wind will keep temps in the upper 50's to around 60. Then the cold front will approach with showers arriving at around 9 PM in Boston. The showers should exit by early Sunday morning. Sunday afternoon should dry out and become cooler.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy, lows in the upper 40's. Winds increasing out of the south.

Saturday: Cloudy, windy and warm. A few breaks of sun are possible. Highs near and above 70 from the Boston area points north and west. Winds off the water will keep temps in the upper 50's to low 60's on the cape. SW wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts past 30 MPH in the morning, increasing to 40 MPH in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Showers are likely after 9 PM in Boston and 7 PM in Worcester. Windy. SW winds of 20-25 MPH with gusts past 40 MPH. Shifting to west at 10-15 MPH after midnight. Lows in the upper 40's. Reminder: set your clocks back one hour. The hour by hour is below.

Sunday: Showers move off the cape by 10 am, then gradual clearing. Cooler. High 56. NW wind of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH before 1 pm. Sunset 4:37.

Sunday night: Clear with lows in the 30's.

Trick o' treat timeline:

5 PM: Cloudy, warm and windy with temps in the Mid 60's. Sunset 538
6 PM: showers approaching the Worcester area. Remaining windy with temps in the low 60's.
7 PM: Showers in the Worcester area, still cloudy in Boston. Windy with temps in the around 60.
8PM: Showers around the 495 belt with temps in the upper 50's. An isolated shower is possible in Boston.
9 PM: Showers overspreading the Boston area. Temps in the 50's.
10 PM and after: Showers. Don't forget to set your clocks back before you go to bed.

Weather news: Some places in the higher elevations of Colorado picked up about 5 FEET of snow, and the city of Denver picked up just under 2 feet. It started snowing on Tuesday and didn't stop until Friday morning in some areas. Roads were impassible, and many lost power and snow drifts piled up to 8 ft!

WIndy and Warm Halloweed

It now appears that the cold front will lose its punch as it approaches the area, just causing scattered showers after 8 PM in the Boston area. It should be mainly dry for Trick or Treaters. During the day on Saturday winds will increase out of the SSW and temps will soar to near 70. Then, rain seems likely for at least part of Sunday, as the front stalls and a low pressure center forms along the front and comes in to New England.

Local news: Last night a maximum wind gust of 50 MPH was recorded on Nantucket.

Other peak wind gusts( MPH):

Vineyard: 47
Barnstable: 46
Boston: 37


Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Skies clearing allowing the temps to crash. Lows around 40 Downtown to 36 in JP and 27 in the coldest areas. Frost likely in most suburbs.

Friday: Sunny until 1 PM, then increasing clouds. Warmer, high around 56 at the coast and 60 inland.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 40's to near 50.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, warm and windy. High near 70. SSW winds of 10-20 MPH in the morning, increasing to 20-25 MPH with gusts up to 40 MPH.

Saturday night: Clouds increasing, and scattered showers arriving in Worcester by 6 PM, and Boston at around 8 PM. Winds remaining strong out of the SSW with gusts to 40 MPH. Lows near 50.

Sunday: The timing is still a bit uncertain, but rain is likely to fall for at least part of Sunday with highs in the 50's.



Tropics: Another typhoon is expected to hit the Philippines on Friday, causing more flooding and mudslides. Some places may have over 20 inches of rain. Maximum sustained winds are of 105 MPH, which will cause damage to some parts of the island. Also, a volcano is threatening to erupt in the same area where the typhoon is expected to make a close pass.

Wet Wednesday.... Halloween?

It now appears that the storm now centered in the Tenn. Valley will come closer to the region than thought yesterday. The storm today came closer than thought providing steady rain this afternoon from Plymouth points south and east. It also created cool and cloudy conditions with a sprinkle or 2 for the rest of the area. Some towns did not make it out of the 40's, and Boston hit 52. The storm for tomorrow will provide rain most of the day, and brisk NE winds gusting to 45 MPH on the cape, and 30 MPH in Boston Wednesday evening.

Local alerts: A wind advisory may be needed for the cape and islands tomorrow evening.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy with drizzle, except rain may continue on the Cape this evening. Lows in the mid 40's. NE winds of 5-10 MPH.

Wednesday: Rain and wind. Near steady temps in the mid to upper 40's. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH, increasing to 40 MPH on the cape in the afternoon.

Wednesday: Rain until around midnight. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH on the Cape and islands, and around 30 MPH in the Boston area.

Thursday: Clearing from north to south as the storm pulls away. Highs in the mid 50's with a light east wind.

Extended: On Halloween it will be warm and windy, as temps soar to near 70. However, a strong cold front will approach in the evening. Widespread rain does not seem likely at this point, but scattered showers are possible.

Watching 2 systems

There is a low pressure center forming down by the Carolina coast. There is another one right behind it, over the SE states. The first storm is weak, and will pass well to the south of the region on Tuesday night. However, a shower may clip the south coast. Then on Wednesday the second, stronger system will approach and will provide the region with showers and a brisk NE wind on Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: A moonlit sky, with a low around 43 Downtown, 40 in JP and 34 in the coldest areas. Frost is possible in some of the interior suburbs.

Tuesday: Some sun early, then turning cloudy. A chance of a shower mainly on the south coast, but a sprinkle may sneak up to Boston. Cooler, high 56 in most areas. Light east wind.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a risk of a shower early, then again towards dawn. Lows in the low 40's.

Wednesday: Cloudy with showers likely arriving on the south coast by late morning , then reaching Boston by 3 pm, and the north shore by the commute home. Cool, high 52. NE wind of 10-15 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH on the cape, and around 20 MPH elsewhere.

Wednesday night: Showers likely before midnight, then some clearing by dawn. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH on cape.

Extended: At this early stage Halloween looks mild and breezy, but with a chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. I will update throughout the week, so continue to check back for any changes. Also, don't forget to change your clocks back 1 hour on Saturday night.

Decent week ahead

A decent week is ahead with temps near normal, and just one rainy day on Wednesday.

Local news: Peak wind gust of 60 MPH recorded in Barnstable, MA on Saturday night.
Other wind gusts (MPH):

Plymouth: 58
Fall river: 56
Blue Hill: 53


Boston, Ma forecast:

Tonight: Clear, low around 42 Downtown to 39 in JP and 34 in most suburbs. Frost possible.

Monday: Brilliant sunshine, with a seabreeze developing in the afternoon. High around 6o inland, and 58 along the coast. Temps falling into the mid 50's along the coast.

Monday night: Clear, lows just a tad cooler than Sunday night, with lows ranging from 32-40.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds, high 57 along the coast to 62 inland. Light sea breeze.

Not a washout

The storm to the west has a cold front and warm front attached to it. The warm front will come through around midday Saturday with rain ahead of it. Then there will be a break from the steady rain from late morning through the mid afternoon. There will still be some showers around, but there also could be a break or 2 of sun. Then the cold front will come rocketing through with heavy rain and maybe a rumble of thunder starting around 9 PM, but it will be very brief. Winds may gust to 50 MPH as the front comes through.

Local alerts: A wind advisory may be needed for parts of the area as the front comes through. A flood watch may also be needed.

Boston, MA forecast:

Tonight: Rain arriving at around 10 PM in Worcester and around midnight in Boston. Temps holding steady, then rising to around 48 by dawn. East wind increasing to 10-20 MPH.

Saturday: Rain until around 10 AM, then showers with some rumbles of thunder.Temps in the upper 40's in the morning, the quickly jumping to around 67 in the afternoon. Becoming humid and windy. South wind at around 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Saturday night: As the strong cold front comes through, a squall line of showers and thunderstorms will come through. The line will reach Boston at around 9 PM. Remaining humid and South winds increasing to 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH or higher in any thunderstorm. Temps holding in the 60's, then crashing to around 50.

Sunday: After early morning clouds, nice and sunny. A slight risk of an early morning shower. High 63. West wind of 15-20 MPH.

Sunday night: Clear, lows around 40.

70!

Temps are expected to soar into the low 70's on Thursday along with a strong SW wind. It will be a great fall day, as sunshine will increase throughout the day. Then, a cold front will come through the area on Thursday night, and temps will only reach the low 50's on Friday. A storm will come in from the SW on Saturday expect heavy rain for most of the day, and winds gusting over 40 MPH from the SE. We will be on the warm side of the storm, so temps will rise to around 60 on Saturday afternoon.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 40's. A slight risk of a shower. It will feel mild for the commute to work.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy early, then increasing sunshine. Warm, high around 74 in Boston, excpet about 60 0n the north shore and the cape. SW wind of 10-20 with gusts to 30 MPH.

Thursday night: As a cold front comes through it will turn mostly cloudy with a slight risk of a shower, then turn cooler. Lows in the 40's. Wind shifting to NW.

Friday: Partly sunny and much cooler with a high around 52.

Friday night: Cloudy with rain moving in around midnight. Lows around 45.

Warmer

Temps today have climbed in to the mid 60's under sunny skies. It feels great after the snow on Sunday, but it is right around normal. There will be a bit more clouds on Wednesday and it will be cooler, but the best day of the week will be on Thursday. Then, a rainstorm will come in for Saturday.

Local news: Arlington, MA picked up 2 inches of snow on Sunday. Other snow totals (inches):

Wachusett Mt. 6.5
Blue Hill: 3
Worcester: 1.4
Boston: 0.1

Local forecast:

Tonight: Becoming mostly cloudy, with lows in the mid 40's.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, high 60 along the coast to 63 inland. A light onshore breeze.

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the 40's

Thursday: A great day with sunny skies and temps soaring close to 70! An increasing south wind.

Thursday night: Clear, lows in the 40's.

Tropics: Now Tropical Storm Rick (Pacific)is forecasted to hit the west coast of Mexico tomorrow. The storm once had winds of 180 MPH! The Atlantic remains mostly quiet, but watching an area of thunderstorms in the western Caribbean.

Snow!

This nor'easter has brought heavy snow to most of the region. As we were driving back to JP from Medford, there was snow on the grass, cars, and even some sidewalks. Snow is expected to accumulate a bit more into the night, with some areas picking up around an inch on grassy surfaces. Worcester county may pick up around 4-5 inches as it is a bit colder there. The heavy precipitation is expected to wind down around midnight. Still, there may be some left over flurries or drizzle in the morning. It started to snow because as the wind shifted to the north temps dropped quickly, and heavy rain turned to heavy snow. The winds have been quite gusty out of the NE/north with gusts up to around 35 MPH here in JP, but up to 54 MPH on Nantucket.

Forecast:

Tonight: Snow from Boston points north and west, and rain south ending by 1 am. Then snow or rain showers continuing. Snow accumulation up to an inch close to the city, but up to 5 inches near Worcester. Lows in the 30's. except 40's on the cape. Windy. NW wind at 15-20 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH along the coast. Little wind inland.

Monday: Flurries or sprinkles in the morning, then remaining cloudy. Warmer, high 52. NW wind of 15-20 MPH.

Monday night: Cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Lows around 40.

Tuesday: Great. Beocoming sunny, warmer with highs near 60!

Tuesday night: Clear, with lows in the 40's.