Thursday, May 30, 2013

Weeknd Heatwave

Another hot day is in store for Friday with hazy sun and high humidity. Saturday will be like Friday with about the same temperature. Sunday will also be hot and humid before the front arrive.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Clear and muggy. Low 68.

Friday: Hazy, hot and humid. High 93. SW wind of 10-20 MPH.

Friday night: Clear with lows in the upper 60's .

Saturday: Another hot and humid day. Hazy with highs in the low 90's.

Sunday: Hazy until 7 PM, then scattered storms. Highs around 90.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

A Warm Front

A strong warm front will cross the region with showers and storms. Some storms could be severe on Wednesday afternoon. Then, hot and humid air will come into New England. Temps will reach the low to mid 90's with hazy sun.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Showers with scattered thunderstorms. Low 58.

Wednesday night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 9 AM, then partly sunny with scattered severe thunderstorms after 3 PM. Muggy with a high of 73. South wind of 10-20 MPH. Some storms will produce damaging winds, frequent lightning and hail ..

Wednesday night: Scattered severe thunderstorms until 9 PM, then mostly cloudy and muggy. Lows in the mid 60's. Some storms will produce damaging winds, frequent lightning and hail.

Thursday: Hazy, hot and humid, Highs around 90.

Friday: Hazy and humid. Hot with highs in the mid 90's.

Saturday: Hazy with highs in the low 90's.

Sunday: PM storms possible. Highs around 90.

Tropics: TS Barbara has formed in the E. Pacific and will make landfall along the west coast of Mexico where at TS warning is in effect.

Monday, May 27, 2013

Nice Tuesday

High Pressure will give another nice day to the area on Tuesday. A warm front will bring showers and storms on Wednesday along with temps in the 70's. Behind the front hot and humid air will surge into the area.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Clear with a low of 48.

Tuesday: Sunny in the morning, then increasing clouds in the afternoon. Highs near 67 at the beaches, 72 in JP and 77 inland. East wind of 15-20 MPH.

Tuesday night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then showers with thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50's.

Wednesday: Showers with scattered severe thunderstorms. Highs around 70. Some storms will produce damaging winds and hail.

Thursday: Hazy, hot and humid. Highs around 90.

Friday: Sunny with highs in the low 90's.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

SPECIAL: 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Preview

The 2013 Hurricane season starts next Saturday June 1st and ends November 30th. This is my preview for the upcoming season.

Note: Scroll to the end of the post to see my latest forecast!

Review of Facts:

A Tropical Storm (TS) needs sustained winds of at least 39 MPH to be given a name.

Hurricane Categories:

Category 1: Winds of 74-94 MPH
Category 2: Winds of 95-110 MPH.
Category 3: Winds of 111-130 MPH.  A major Hurricane is a cat 3 or higher
Category 4: Winds of 131-155 MPH.
Category 5: Winds of 155 MPH+

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives their projected path based on a combo of global models. The forecast goes out 5 days and predicts position and wind speeds.

New England Review:

Last year Hurricane Sandy made landfall along the NJ coast, but still affected us here in Boston with strong winds and rain.  The last Hurricane to make landfall was Bob in 1991. The last TS to make landfall was Hanna in 2008.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Averages:

Named Storms: 12
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes:3
US Landfalls: 3 (TS or Hurricane)

My forecast for 2013:

Named Storms: 17
Hurricanes: 10
Major Hurricanes 5
US Landfalls: 5 ( TS or Hurricanes)
New England Threats: 2

2013 Forecast of tracks:

This year there will be more storms forming off the coast of Africa and turning north and making a close pass to the US East coast. Other storms will head into the Gulf of Mexico and threaten the Gulf coast states. Many major cities could be threatened by a landfalling Hurricane. The height of the season is late August and September, but is important to be ready for a storm at any point in the season.

New England Preview:

I believe that there is an above normal chance for a storm to affect the area this season. Later in the season storms that form out in the Atlantic will come up the coast and make a close pass to the area. The best chance for a storm here is in August thru September.

Boston forecast:

Tonight :Rain showers with mist, drizzle and fog. Low 40. NW wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Sunday: Showers with fog, mist and drizzle in the morning, then mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. High 57. NW wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Sunday night: Clearing and chilly. Lows in the low 40's.

Memorial Day: Sunny and nicer. Highs around 70.

Tuesday: Sunny with highs in the low 70's.

Wednesday: Scattered showers and storms. Highs in the 70's.

Friday, May 24, 2013

Soggy Saturday

A late spring nor'easter will hit the region on Saturday with a cold windswept rain. As temps will hold in the 40's during the afternoon on Saturday. Also, some wet snowflakes will mix in even in the higher areas of Central MA. And, some snow may accumulate in the mts.  But, there is now hope for Sunday afternoon as the storm lifts to our north. Memorial Day looks great with sunny skies.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Showers. Low 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Saturday: Periods of rain. Temps near 50 in the morning will fall to 43 by 5 PM. North wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Saturday night: Rain showers. Cold with lows around 40. NW wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Sunday: Scattered showers in the morning, then partial clearing in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50's.

Memorial Day;: Sunny with highs around 70.

Tuesday: Sunny with highs in the 70's.

Extra: Stay tuned for my 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast on Saturday!

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Weekend Washout

The cool front crossing the area tonight will stall over the area this weekend. And, low pressure will ride up along the front leading to a soaking rain for Friday and Saturday. Also, cold North winds will keep temps in the 50's, Amazingly it may be cold enough to support some snowflakes in the mts. of northern New England on Sunday. There is some hope that it may dry out for Memorial day.

Alerts:

A Flood Watch is in effect for Central MA.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Showers with scattered thunderstorms. Low 60. SE wind of 15-20 MPH.

Friday: Showers with scattered thunderstorms. Areas of fog with a high of 67. SE wind of 10-20 MPH, changing to NE at  15-20 MPH in the afternoon.

Friday night: Showers continue. Lows in the low 50's. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Saturday: Periods of rain. Windy with highs in the mid 50's. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Sunday: Showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Cold with highs in the low 50's.

Memorial Day: Some clearing is possible. Highs near 60.

Extra: Stay tuned for my Hurricane Season forecast this weekend!

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Severe Storms

More severe storms hit the area today leading to another Tornado Warning in Central MA. Again, the ocean influence cut down on the storms here in Boston. Low clouds and fog should lift in Boston on Thursday, and with a cold front approaching it should fire of more severe storms. Then, the front will stall leading to more rain over the long holiday weekend.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Low clouds and fog with isolated showers, mist and drizzle. Low 53.

Thursday: Areas of low clouds and fog in the morning, then partly sunny with scattered severe thunderstorms after 5 PM. Highs near 65 at the beaches and 78 well inland. SE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH. Some storms will produce damaging winds, frequent lightning and small hail.

Thursday night: Showers likely with scattered severe storms in the evening. Lows in the upper 50's.

Friday: Showers.  Cooler with highs in the low 60's. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Saturday: Rain and wind. Cool with highs in the mid 50's.

Sunday: Showers continue. Highs in the low 50's.

Memorial Day: Clearing is possible. Highs around 60.

Extra: Stay tuned for my 2013 Atlantic Hurricane season forecast this weekend!