Final Friday

Friday will be another nice day with sunny skies and comfy temps. But that will be the last great day for a while. as Saturday will be rainy. Then, Sunday will be OK with a shower possible late-but most of the day is dry.

Boston Forecast:

Tonight: Clear and comfy. Lows near 60 in Boston, 57 in JP and 50 in the suburbs.

Friday: Sunny with a sea breeze. Highs near 67 at the beaches, 70 in JP and 75 inland. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers towards dawn. Lows in the upper 50's.

Saturday: Rain in the morning, then scattered showers, mist and drizzle in the afternoon. Highs around 60. SE wind of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered PM showers. Highs in the low 70's.

Tropics: Friday is the first day of the Hurricane season and the Atlantic is quiet for now.

Dry Air

A nice Thursday and Friday is in store with sunny skies and low humidity. Temps on Thursday will rise back to near 80. Friday will be cooler at the beaches with a sea breeze. Saturday will be rainy, before drying out on Sunday.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy with an isolated shower. Low 63.

Thursday: Sunny and nice. High 80. West wind of 10-20 MPH.

Thursday night: Clear with lows in the low 60's.

Friday: Sunny in the morning, then increasing clouds in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70's.

Saturday: Rain likely, Highs in the low 60's.

Sunday: Sunny with highs in the low 70's.

Tropics: Beryl is no longer tropical, either way it will head out to sea.

Severe Storms

A sharp cold front is coming into the area leading to severe thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes west of the Boston area. In fact, a Tornado Watch in effect for much of the evening in western MA was just cancelled. However, a Tornado was reported near Keene, NH. Some storms will reach Boston tonight, but it won't meet severe standards. The next few days will be less humid and mainly dry.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Widespread showers and thunderstorms. Some storms will produce gusty winds and downpours. Muggy with lows near 67.

Wednesday: Partly to mostlysunny with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. High 83. SW wind of 10-20 MPH.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with lows in the low 60's .

Thursday: Sunny and dry. Highs in the upper 70's. Beryl heads out to sea.

Friday: Sunny with highs in the 70's

Tropics: The latest track of Beryl sends off the Carolina coast and well out to sea.

Memorial Day

After a great day, Memorial day will feature more clouds with a chance of a shower or storm. There is a better chance of storms on Tuesday as the humidity comes back. Humidity will last thru Wednesday, before relief comes back towards the end of the week. We will also have to watch Tropical Storm Beryl off the Eastern seaboard.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy with areas of fog. Low 60.

Memorial Day: Happy Memorial Day everyone! Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms. High 70 at the beaches and 82 inland.NE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the low 60's.

Tuesday: Showers and storms likely by afternoon. Humid with highs in the mid 80's.

Wednesday: Partly Sunny with storms possible. Highs in the low 80's.

Thursday:Watching Tropical Storm Beryl on the East coast. Otherwise clearing with highs in the 70's.

Friday: Sunny with highs in the 70's.

Tropics: Tropical Storm Beryl now has winds of 70 MPH, making landfall tonight near Jacksonville, FL. It will eventually turn NE and be on the Eastern seaboard by midweek. Stay tuned!

SPECIAL: 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Preview

The 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. This is my preview for the upcoming season.

Note :Scroll to the end to see my latest forecast.

Review of Facts:

A Tropical Storm (TS) needs winds of at least 39 MPH to be given a name.

Hurricane Categories;.

Category 1: Winds of 74-94 MPH.
Category 2: Winds of 95-110 MPH.
Category 3: Winds of 111-130 MPH. A major Hurricane is cat 3 or higher,
Category 4: Winds of 131-155 MPH.
Category 5: Winds of 156+ MPH.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives a projected path based on global weather models. I will give my forecast based on that path. The track goes out 5 days and gives a forecast of winds and position.

New England Review: Last year we had Hurricane Irene come up the east coast and brought rain and strong winds to the area. However, it made landfall in NJ and went west of Boston. The last Hurricane to make landfall in MA was Hurricane Bob in 1991. The last TS to make landfall was Hanna in 2008.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Averages:

Named Storms; 12
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
US Landfall: 4 (TS or Hurricane)

My forecast for 2012 season:

Named Storms; 13
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
US Landfall: 3 (TS or Hurricane)
New England Threats: 2

2012 Forecast of tracks:

I expect early storms to form near the coast and make a quick landfall, especially near the SE coast and Gulf of Mexico. I believe the major cities of New Orleans,LA and Miami, FL have an above average chance of a storm this season. I think that there will be less storms that form off the coast of Africa and come towards the States, until maybe later in the season. But, it is important for any East coast resident to be prepared for a storm.

2012 New England Preview:

I believe that we have a chance for a couple storms this season. The best chance early in the season will be a storm that forms along the SE coast and turns north into New England. Then, by mid August there will be storms that form out in the central Atlantic and come up the east coast and make a close pass. The most likely place for Tropical Cyclone is the Outer Cape and Nantucket, but people should be ready in Boston as well.

Current Outlook:

 TS Alberto formed last weekend and fell apart along the SE coast. Now, a cluster of storms close to the same spot is forecast to become TS Beryl this weekend. Stay tuned for more updates.

Boston Forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog. Low 60.

Saturday: Increasing sunshine. High 87. SW wind of 10-20 MPH,

Saturday night: Partly cloudy with lows in the low 60.

Sunday: Cloudy until 5 PM, then scattered showers. Highs in the mid 70's,

Memorial Day: Clearing with highs in the upper 70's.

A Long Weekend

A front near the area will deliver a mixed weekend. Friday will be a mix of sun and clouds with a few showers possible. Saturday will be the best day with sunny skies and hot temps. On Sunday a few showers are likely, and with cooler temps. Memorial day itself will be dry with temps in the 70's .

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight risk of a shower. Low 58.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers until 2 PM, then partly sunny. High 73. SE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Friday night: Partly cloudy with fog. Lows around 60.

Saturday: Sunny and hot. Highs in the upper 80's.

Sunday: Showers likely. Highs around 70.

Memorial Day: Clearing with highs in the mid 70's.

Tropics: Hurricane Bud in the east Pacific with winds of 110 MPH. Hurricane warning has been issued for the SW coast of Mexico.

Extra: Stay tuned for my 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season preview tomorrow!

Muggy Days

Muggy air will hang around for the next several days with temps well into the 70's. There is just a slim chance of a t-storm each afternoon, with most of the action west of town. Memorial day weekend is still in question with a front near the area.

Boston forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy with areas of fog. Low 60.

Thursday: Partly sunny with areas of fog until 2 PM, then hazy with isolated thunderstorms. High 75. SE wind of 10-20 MPH.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog. Lows around 60.

Friday: Partly sunny with a t-storm possible. Highs in the upper 70's .

Saturday: Sunny and hot. Highs in the mid 80's.

Sunday: Showers possible. Highs in the 70s

Memorial Day: Showers possible. Highs in the 70's.

Extra: Stay tuned for my 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season forecast on Friday!