A large and powerful coastal storm will back towards New England on Monday providing the area with a windswept wintry mix and then rainstorm. Some wet snow will mix in first thing in the morning, before changing to all rain. No snow accumulation is expected in Boston. Winds may gust to 40-50 MPH along the coast, including the city through the morning. The rain will last through Tuesday morning, although it won't be pouring the whole time. On Wednesday the remains of Tomas will come close to New England, and it may give us another rain event as it combines with a low offshore. Warm air will try to come into New England at the end of the week, but it will have a hard time reaching the coast.
Alerts:
A Wind Advisory is in effect for the coast, including Boston until 11 AM Monday.
A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for splash over at high tide Monday
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for northern and western New England, including here at Plymouth, NH.
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Rain and sleet this evening, then rain, sleet and wet snow after midnight. Windy with a a low of 34. NW wind increasing to 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH on the Cape and 40 MPH in Boston. .5-1 inch of rain expected, but no snow or ice accumulation in Boston.
Monday: Rain mixed with wet snow and sleet until 9 AM, then periods of heavy rain. Windy and cold with a high of 42. North wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH on the Cape and 45 MPH in Boston in the morning. Decreasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH in the afternoon. 1-1.5 inches of rain expected. No ice or snow accumulation expected in Boston.
Monday night: Periods of heavy rain in the evening, then showers. Lows in the upper 30's. NE wind of 15-25 MPH. Around an inch of rain expected.
Tuesday: Showers in the morning, and drizzle and mist in the afternoon. Still windy with highs in the mid 40's.
Wednesday: Still cloudy and windy as we watch another storm. Highs around 50. Stay tuned!
Thursday: Skies finally clear! Highs in the mid 50's.
Friday: Sunny with highs in the mid 50's.
Note: Feel free to update me on the conditions Monday morning. I will be interested to hear how much winter precip falls in JP.
Sunday, November 7, 2010
Saturday, November 6, 2010
Nor'easter on the way
The storm stalled offshore will combine with another low off the Carolina coast and give us a windswept soaker Sunday night thru Tuesday morning. Winds will gust to gale force thru the day on Monday and perhaps higher on the Cape, which will cause some coastal flooding as well. Tomas has re-gathered Hurricane status, and the center is expected to remain offshore. However, some off Tomas's moisture may get rapped into the storm causing more rain than expected as it heads towards SE Canada as a remnant low. It should dry out by the end of the week, but the warmest air will remain to our west.
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy with a low of 38. Set your clocks back before going to bed.
Sunday: Cloudy until 3 PM, then scattered showers. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.
Sunday night: Showers until 9 PM, then rain. Increasingly windy with lows around 40. NE wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH in Boston and 50 MPH on the Cape.
Monday: The height of the storm hits with drenching rain and gale force winds. Highs in the mid 40's. NE wind gusting over 50 MPH in Boston, and maybe higher on the Cape.
Monday night: Rain and wind continue. Lows around 40.
Tuesday: Rain and wind end in the morning, then remaining cloudy and breezy. Highs in the upper 40's.
Wednesday: Skies finally clear! Highs around 50.
Tomas: The storm now has winds of 80 MPH as it heads north over the open Atlantic. All warnings have been dropped for now. Stay tuned on the latest track over the next 48 hours.
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy with a low of 38. Set your clocks back before going to bed.
Sunday: Cloudy until 3 PM, then scattered showers. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.
Sunday night: Showers until 9 PM, then rain. Increasingly windy with lows around 40. NE wind of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH in Boston and 50 MPH on the Cape.
Monday: The height of the storm hits with drenching rain and gale force winds. Highs in the mid 40's. NE wind gusting over 50 MPH in Boston, and maybe higher on the Cape.
Monday night: Rain and wind continue. Lows around 40.
Tuesday: Rain and wind end in the morning, then remaining cloudy and breezy. Highs in the upper 40's.
Wednesday: Skies finally clear! Highs around 50.
Tomas: The storm now has winds of 80 MPH as it heads north over the open Atlantic. All warnings have been dropped for now. Stay tuned on the latest track over the next 48 hours.
Friday, November 5, 2010
Dark Days
The doom and gloom of November continues with another cloudy day on tap for Saturday. Although, the precip should stay mainly offshore-so no Snow is expected. On Sunday, skies will brighten a bit as temps stay in the 40's. However, the sun will set at 430. Then, the storm will offshore gain strength and back towards New England. It is still in question how close it will come, but some rain is possible Monday and Tuesday. It should clear out and warm up close to 60 late next week.
Rain totals:
Dartmouth, MA:1.7
Cambridge: 1.7
Boston: 1.6
Taunton: 1.5
Bedford: 1.5
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler. Lows near 38 in Boston, 36 in JP and 32 in the suburbs. Patchy frost is possible in the inland valleys.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a light rain shower possible in the afternoon. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.
Saturday night: Partial clearing with lows in the 30's. Set clocks back 1 hour before heading to bed.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40's. Wind off the water remains.
Sunrise/Sunset:
Saturday:
Sunrise: 723 AM
Sunset: 531 PM
Sunday: Clocks set back one hour at 2 AM
Sunrise: 624 AM
Sunset: 430 PM
Monday and Tuesday: The storm offshore backs towards the area, so rain and wind is possible. Highs in the 40's.
Tomas: Hurricane Tomas has winds of 75 MPH as it continues to affect Haiti. Thankfully, although some flooding has occurred a major disaster has seemed to be avoided. The storm will effect the Bahamas tomorrow.
Rain totals:
Dartmouth, MA:1.7
Cambridge: 1.7
Boston: 1.6
Taunton: 1.5
Bedford: 1.5
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler. Lows near 38 in Boston, 36 in JP and 32 in the suburbs. Patchy frost is possible in the inland valleys.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a light rain shower possible in the afternoon. High 47. NE wind of 10-20 MPH.
Saturday night: Partial clearing with lows in the 30's. Set clocks back 1 hour before heading to bed.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40's. Wind off the water remains.
Sunrise/Sunset:
Saturday:
Sunrise: 723 AM
Sunset: 531 PM
Sunday: Clocks set back one hour at 2 AM
Sunrise: 624 AM
Sunset: 430 PM
Monday and Tuesday: The storm offshore backs towards the area, so rain and wind is possible. Highs in the 40's.
Tomas: Hurricane Tomas has winds of 75 MPH as it continues to affect Haiti. Thankfully, although some flooding has occurred a major disaster has seemed to be avoided. The storm will effect the Bahamas tomorrow.
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Snowflakes Saturday?
One wave of rain came through the area today providing a soaking rain. After a break this evening, another wave of rain will come up the coast and into the Boston area later tonight. The heavy rain will push to Maine by dawn, and Friday afternoon should turn out nicer. Then, another low pressure will come up the coast on Saturday and with colder air in place a few wet snowflakes are possible. No accumulation is expected in the Boston area, but up here in NH and inch or so is possible.
Rain totals: So far
Reading, MA: 1.2
New Bedford: 1.2
Plymouth: 0.9
Worcester: 0.8
Boston: 0.75
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Light showers this evening, then heavy rain. Breezy with temps holding rising to 55. SE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH. 1-1.5 inches of rain expected.
Friday: Heavy rain until 7 AM, then scattered showers until 1 PM. After that some breaks of sun are possible. Warm with a high of 57. SW wind of 15-20 MPH.
Friday night: Mostly cloudy, but sharply colder as winds turn to the north. Lows in the mid 30's.
Saturday: Wet Snow and rain showers likely. Highs in the low 40's. No accumulation expected. Don't forget to set your clocks back before heading to bed.
Sunday: Partial clearing and breezy with highs in the upper 40's. Sun sets at 430 PM.
Tomas: TS Tomas has winds of 60 MPH and is expected to dump rain on Haiti tomorrow. Although, it appears a disaster may be avoided as the winds will not be as strong as feared. The track after it goes through the Bahamas is in question, so stay tuned for details!
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Soaker
A storm will come together right over New England and give us a soaking rain. The storm will be stronger than I thought yesterday, but still there is not much wind with this storm. Then, another storm will come up behind it on Friday, but just graze the region with showers. After that, a mainly dry and cold weekend is expected.
Lows this morning:
Norwood: 18
Taunton:19
Plymouth, NH: 20
Welfleet: 23
Bedford: 24
Stoneham: 28
JP:29
Boston: 32 (First frost this season)
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Clear this evening, then increasing clouds. Temps around 40 by dawn.
Thursday: Rain overspreading the area from South to North and becoming steady by 11 AM. Then downpours after 3 PM. High 55. SE wind of 15-20 MPH. 1 inch of rain expected.
Thursday night: Heavy rain. Near steady temps in the low 50's. SE wind of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH. 1-1.5 inches of rain expected.
Friday: Heavy rain until 9 AM, then showers continuing. Highs in the low 50's. About .5 inches of rain expected.
Saturday: A flurry possible before 8 AM, then partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40's.
Sunday: Mainly sunny with highs in the upper 40's.
Tomas: TS Tomas has winds of 45 MPH and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti. It is expected to hammer the area with 1-2 FEET of rain along with damaging winds.
Lows this morning:
Norwood: 18
Taunton:19
Plymouth, NH: 20
Welfleet: 23
Bedford: 24
Stoneham: 28
JP:29
Boston: 32 (First frost this season)
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Clear this evening, then increasing clouds. Temps around 40 by dawn.
Thursday: Rain overspreading the area from South to North and becoming steady by 11 AM. Then downpours after 3 PM. High 55. SE wind of 15-20 MPH. 1 inch of rain expected.
Thursday night: Heavy rain. Near steady temps in the low 50's. SE wind of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH. 1-1.5 inches of rain expected.
Friday: Heavy rain until 9 AM, then showers continuing. Highs in the low 50's. About .5 inches of rain expected.
Saturday: A flurry possible before 8 AM, then partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40's.
Sunday: Mainly sunny with highs in the upper 40's.
Tomas: TS Tomas has winds of 45 MPH and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti. It is expected to hammer the area with 1-2 FEET of rain along with damaging winds.
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Frosty
Tonight will be the coldest night so far, as skies clear out and temps drop into the low to mid 20's outside of Boston. In JP temps will drop below freezing as a widespread frost is expected. Wednesday will be just like today, except with more sunshine. On Thursday a relatively weak storm will come up the coast and rain will arrive in the afternoon. Then, cold air will come in behind the storm for the weekend.
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Clear with widespread frost. Lows near 32 Downtown, 30 in JP and 23 in the suburbs.
Wednesday: Sunny and chilly. High 50. SW wind of 10-15 MPH.
Wednesday night: increasing clouds with lows around 40.
Thursday: Cloudy in the morning, then showers in the afternoon. Highs in the low 50's.
Friday: Showers possible in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Highs in the 50's.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a snow shower possible, although no accumulation expected. Cold with highs in the mid 40's.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer, highs in the low 50's.
Tropics: Tropical storm Tomas has winds of 40 MPH. However, it is expected to strengthen into a Hurricane as it heads towards Haiti.
Extra: Scroll down to my last post for my 2010-11 winter forecast.
Boston, MA forecast:
Tonight: Clear with widespread frost. Lows near 32 Downtown, 30 in JP and 23 in the suburbs.
Wednesday: Sunny and chilly. High 50. SW wind of 10-15 MPH.
Wednesday night: increasing clouds with lows around 40.
Thursday: Cloudy in the morning, then showers in the afternoon. Highs in the low 50's.
Friday: Showers possible in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Highs in the 50's.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a snow shower possible, although no accumulation expected. Cold with highs in the mid 40's.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer, highs in the low 50's.
Tropics: Tropical storm Tomas has winds of 40 MPH. However, it is expected to strengthen into a Hurricane as it heads towards Haiti.
Extra: Scroll down to my last post for my 2010-11 winter forecast.
Monday, November 1, 2010
SPECIAL-Boston 2010-11 Winter Forecast
The past few winters have had most snow at the start of winter, and the latest data support that for this winter as well. Although a snowy March is also predicted after a mid-winter thaw. For this winter I will predict snow for the immediate Boston area (inside 128). If you would like totals for another part of MA, let me know and I will gladly predict snowstorm totals.
Here are my avg high and snowfall totals for each month:
November: Normals
Avg High: 52
Avg Snow: 1.3 inches
My November prediction:
Avg High: 50
Snow total: 2.5
December Normals: Winter begins on Dec. 22
Avg high: 43
Avg Snow: 7.5 inches
My December Predictions:
Avg high: 39
Snow total: 14 inches
January normals:
Avg High: 37
Avg snow: 11.3
My January 2011 prediction
Avg high: 40
Snow total: 10 inches
February normals:
Avg high: 39
Avg snow: 14.5
My Feb 2011 predicitons:
Avg high: 44
Snow total: 7 inches
March normals:
Avg high: 46
Avg snow: 8.1
My March 2011 predictions:
Avg High: 42
Snow total: 12 inches
Final snow total for Boston avg: 41.8 inches
My final snow total prediction: 45 inches
Other snowfall dates: For Boston
Biggest snowstorm dates: inches
Feb. 17, 2003: 27.8 inches
Blizzard of 78: 27.1 inches
April fools day, 1997: 23.2
Earliest snow: October 10th
Latest snow: May 5th
Largest snow total for entire winter:
1995-96: 107.3 inches
1993-94: 96
1947-48 : 89.6
Least snowy seasons:
1936-37: 8.2 inches
1972-73: 11.1
1979-80: 12.2
Here are my avg high and snowfall totals for each month:
November: Normals
Avg High: 52
Avg Snow: 1.3 inches
My November prediction:
Avg High: 50
Snow total: 2.5
December Normals: Winter begins on Dec. 22
Avg high: 43
Avg Snow: 7.5 inches
My December Predictions:
Avg high: 39
Snow total: 14 inches
January normals:
Avg High: 37
Avg snow: 11.3
My January 2011 prediction
Avg high: 40
Snow total: 10 inches
February normals:
Avg high: 39
Avg snow: 14.5
My Feb 2011 predicitons:
Avg high: 44
Snow total: 7 inches
March normals:
Avg high: 46
Avg snow: 8.1
My March 2011 predictions:
Avg High: 42
Snow total: 12 inches
Final snow total for Boston avg: 41.8 inches
My final snow total prediction: 45 inches
Other snowfall dates: For Boston
Biggest snowstorm dates: inches
Feb. 17, 2003: 27.8 inches
Blizzard of 78: 27.1 inches
April fools day, 1997: 23.2
Earliest snow: October 10th
Latest snow: May 5th
Largest snow total for entire winter:
1995-96: 107.3 inches
1993-94: 96
1947-48 : 89.6
Least snowy seasons:
1936-37: 8.2 inches
1972-73: 11.1
1979-80: 12.2
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