Sunday, May 30, 2021

SPECIAL: 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

 This is my annual Hurricane Season Forecast for the Atlantic Basin. It is a new decade, so the averages have been updated. I expect this season to be another very active and impactful season with above average storms and landfalls on the both the Gulf and East coasts. Here in New England we had 2 Tropical Storm impacts last year and I think we have an average chance of a Hurricane landfall this year. 

Review of Facts: 

A Tropical Storm (TS) needs winds of at least 39 MPH to be named. 

Hurricane Categories:

Category 1: Winds of 74-95 MPH

Cat 2: Winds of 96-110 MPH

Cat 3: 111-129 MPH ( Major Hurricanes are Category 3 and higher) 

Cat 4: 130-155 MPH

Cat 5: Winds of 156+ MPH  

Atlantic Hurricane Season Averages 

Total Storms: 14

Hurricanes: 7

Major Hurricanes(Same as before): 3 

US Landfalls; 4 

My 2021 Hurricane Season Forecast ;

Total Storms: 21 

Hurricanes: 12

Major Hurricanes: 6 

US Landfalls; 7 

Names of all 2021 Hurricanes: 

Ana (Already formed) 

Bill

Claudette 

Danny

Elsa

Fred  

Grace 

Henri 

Ida

Julian 

Kate 

Larry

Mary 

Nicholas

Odette

Peter

Rose 

Sam

Teresa 

Victor

Wanda 

Current Outlook; Watching a chance of a storm in the next week or so in the Gulf Of Mexico 

Boston forecast: 

Tonight: Showers with scattered thunderstorms. Near steady temps around 50. NE wind of 15-25 MPH. 

Memorial Day: Showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. High 60. NW wind of 15-25 MPH. '

Monday night: Partly cloudy with lows in the low 50's. 

Tuesday; Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 70's. 

Wednesday; Sunny with highs around 80. 

Thursday; Rain possible. Highs in the 80's. 

Friday; Showers likely. Highs in the 70's. 




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