Sunday, May 27, 2018

SPECIAL:2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

This is my forecast for the upcoming Hurricane Season. The season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

Note: Scroll to the end to see my latest forecast

Review Of Facts; 

A Tropical Storm (TS) needs winds of at least 39 MPH to be given a name 

Hurricane Categories: 

Category 1: Winds of 75-94 MPH 

Category 2: Winds of 95-110 MPH 

Category 3; Winds of 111-130 MPH 

Category 4: Winds of 131-155 MPH

Category 5; Winds of 156 + 

Note: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will issue a 5 day cone forecast for winds and position of the storm. I will use their forecast on my blog. 


New England Review; A few storms made a close pass to the area last year  but no storm made landfall. The last storm to make landfall was Hurricane Bob in 1991. 

Atlantic Hurricane Season Averages: 

Total Storms:: 12 
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
US Landfall: 3 

2018 Hurricane Season Forecast: 

Total Storms; 14 
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes: 4
US Landfall: 3 

2018 Forecast of Tracks;

Most storms this year will form closer to the coast and threaten the US and other countries that way earlier in the season. By later in the season storms will form in the Central Atlantic. 

2018 New England Forecast

Storms will form off the East Coast and make a close pass to New England that way. By later in the season storms will track across the Atlantic and come close to New England. 

Boston forecast:

Tonight; Low clouds and fog with scattered showers, mist and drizzle. Low 48. NE wind of 15-25 MPH. 

Memorial Day: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. High 60. NE wind of 15-25 MPH. 

Monday night; Partly cloudy with temps holding around 60. 

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80's. 

Wednesday: Sunny with highs in the 80's. 

Thursday; Sunny with highs in the 80's. 

Friday: Showers likely. Highs in the 70's. 




1 comment:

  1. So a pretty regular hurricane season. Glad it won't be worse than usual!

    ReplyDelete