Friday Nor'easter?

It will be a cold week overall, with temps mainly in the 40's to near 50 most of the week. There will be some showers Tuesday morning, but the bigger storm is on Friday. A storm will be forming near the Tennessee valley, and working northeastward towards Long Island, NY. Then it will scoot south of the Cape on Friday afternoon as it rapidly intensifies. On Friday, cold air will be in place, the question is will it be cold enough for wintry precip in the suburbs well NW of Boston. At this point heavy precipitation, and strong winds out of the NE seem certain from the Boston area points SE. If the storm comes close to Cape, it would bring even stronger winds and heavy rain to the coastline. Also, enough cold air may be in place for an icing situation in Worcester points north and west. That track might bring blizzard conditions to Central New England (Southern VT, NH and ME). If it tracks farther to the south, it would bring a wind driven cold rain to the coast, but the precip might not reach places where it is cold enough for snow. Then, a second storm is forecasted to form near the Carolina coast, then move NE towards the cape on Saturday. The storm on Friday seems more likely to occur at this point, but both systems will need to be watched.

Local forecast:

Tonight: Clouding up with showers arriving around dawn. Lows around 40.

Tuesday: Showers until 1 pm, then a changable sky of sun and clouds. High 54. SW wind of 10-20 MPH, shifting to NW at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH in the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Clearing, lows near 34 in the coldest areas to 40 in Boston. NW wind of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH in the evening, then decreasing.

Wedensday: Bright and sunny and breezy. High around 50. Gusty NW wind of 10-25 MPH.

Wednesday night: Lows around 30 in the Suburbs to around 38 Downtow. A freeze is possible.