This year I am expecting about an average Hurricane Season. However, I still expect many landfalls in the US this summer. And most storms should form early in the season, before tapering off later in the year. This year I expect New England to have a below average chance of a landfalling Hurricane.
Review of Facts;
A Tropical Storm (TS) needs winds of at least 39 MPH to be given a name.
Hurricane Categories;
Cat 1; Winds of 74-95 MPH
Cat2; Winds of 96-110 MPH
Cat 3: Winds of 111-129 MPH-mean a Major Hurricane
Cat 4: Winds o f 130-155 MPH
Cat 5: Winds of 156+MPH
Atlantic Hurricane Season Averages:
Total Storms: 14
Hurricanes; 7
Major Hurricanes; 3
US Landfalls; 4
My 2023 Season Forecast:
Total Storms; 15
Hurricanes; 8
Major Hurricanes: 4
US Landfalls; 6
2023 Atlantic Hurricane Names;
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harold
Idalia
Jose
Katia
Lee
Margot
Nigel
Ophelia
Phillippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney
Current Outlook:
No storms are likely to form over the next several days.
Boston forecast;
Tonight: Clear and turning breezy. Low 58. NE wind of 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.
Memorial Day; Sunny and windy. Much colder with a high of 65. NE wind of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH.
Monday night: Clear and chilly. Lows in the mid 40's.
Tuesday; Sunny with highs around 70.
Wednesday; Sunny with highs in the low 80's.
Thursday Sunny with highs around 90.
Friday; Showers and storms possible. Highs in the 90's.
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